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how many alien civilizations are there?

Wednesday, December 5, 2012 22:31
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(Before It's News)


During the space age, 1961 was a special year: the Russian cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin became the first man to orbit Earth, while the American astronomer Frank Drake developed the now famous Drake Equation. This equation estimates the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our Milky Way galaxy, supposing our present electromagnetic detection methods. The Drake equation states: 

N = Ns x fp x ne x fl x fi x fc x fL 
N = number of alien civilizations in the Milky Way 
Ns = estimated number of stars in the Milky Way;
fp = fraction or percentage of these stars with planets on its orbits; 
ne = average number of these planets with potential to host life as we know it; 
fl = percentage of these planets that actually develop life; 
fi = percentage of these planets that actually develop intelligence on human level; 
fc = percentage of these civilizations that actually develop electromagnetic radiation emitting technologies; 
fL = percentage of these civilizations that keep emitting electromagnetic signals to space. 
This factor is extremely dependent on the lifetime a civilization remains electromagnetic communicative.

Maccone estimated with his SDE that our galaxy may harbor 4,590 extraterrestrial civilizations. Assuming the same values for each term the Classical Drake Equation estimates only 3,500. So the SDE adds more than 1,000 civilizations to the previous estimate …. http://phys.org/news



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