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Ever feel like we have been here before? Overwhelmed by the chatter that this time is different and the ‘recovery’ is self-sustaining? Join the crowd (and Goldman). Their MAP indicator – which tracks both absolute (up/down) and relative (beat/miss) moves in macro-economic data – is once again at a level that in the last two years has perfectly marked the tipping point in expectations and absolute macro performance. While the markets (in their infinite wisdom) appear convinced – just as they were in 2007 – perhaps 4 weeks in a row of weakening claims and a gross downward revision of Philly Fed is a glimpse that it really is no different this time.
Chart: Goldman Sachs
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2013-01-10 13:45:25
Source: http://rinf.com/alt-news/breaking-news/2013-macro-deja-deja-vu/19651/