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[DWIM] Sorry. Was referring to the FED history, how deposits provide for a factor of 10:1 loan ability, etc. Just can’t seem to remember the titling of these references you’ve posted for so long here.
[Jester] OK… SO WHAT WILL YOU LIKE TO KNOW… THE EFFECT TO US… NOTWITHSTANDING WHAT CAUSED IT… RIGHT? [DWIM] Yep. [Jester] WE WILL PAY MORE FOR EVERYTHING… IF YOU CAN AFFORD IT… [Jester] TOLD YOU IT WOULD NOT MAKE SENSE…. HAHAHAHA [Goose] Jester Can’t believe prices now [Jester] Goose YOU AIN’T SEEM NOTHING YET… WHEN THE INFLATION WE HAVE EXPORTED FOR DECADES GET HEADED BACK OUR WAY IT WILL BE A TRAGEDY.. [DWIM] Yes. Understand, N inflation takes effect as well. But [DWIM] Taking a few further steps, wouldn’t that start to bring mfg back in-house? [Jester] DWIM HOW LONG DO YOU SUPPOSE IT WILL TAKE TO GET ALL THAT STARTED BACK UP? [diditrvyeet] Jester that would imply carter days? [DWIM] Jester AT least the rest of my life (which I’d say isn’t all THAT long). But thinking of legacy n what we’ve left for our kids n gkids. [Jester] OK… LETS TAKE A BIT OF TIME TO EXPLORE THIS FROM THE BIG PICTURE STANDPOINT… TRUST ME IT WILL MAKE BETTER SENSE… [Jester] THIS WILL TAKE A BIT OF TIME… [DWIM] I like big picture n drill down as details r needed for further response. [Jester] OK… DOLLAR UP… GOLD DOWN… WHY? [Lulu] Oil down [DWIM] Rhetoric ?, right? [Jester] DWIM NOPE… LEGITIMATE QUESTION…. I DO NOT DO RHETORICAL.. [hopen4it] Dropping of price of gold props up value of dollar [Pilgrim] to reduce China’s reserve value?? Just a guess [DWIM] K. Dollar is what gov’ts hold as their asset backing. Also hold gold. Relative worth of assets being adjusted. That what u r looking for? [diditrvyeet] price of our debt [Goose] The brics [hopen4it] They are both being manipulated [Jester] OK.. LOTS OF GOOD THOUGHTS… BUT THINK ABOUT THIS… THIS DOES NOT MEAN DOLLAR IS STRONG…. THE DOLLAR IS THE RESERVE… [Jester] LOTS OF NATIONS CANNOT COMPETE BECAUSE THE US PRINTS MONEY AT WILL AND THEY CANNOT… [DWIM] Yes n that’s at least partly what’s brought about BRICS. [DWIM] So that brings about a re base lining of the reserve onto more than just USD being the reserve basis, at least that’s where this looks like it’s going. [Jester] SO THEY TRY TO USE THE DOLLAR AS A HEDGE AGAINST WHATEVER ELSE THEIR ISSUE IS… [Jester] BUT THERE ARE MANY OUT THERE ALREADY THAT HAVE GOT OVER IT AND ARE TAKING THAT SCENARIO AWAY… RUSSIA AND CHINA AND OTHERS ARE ALREADY TRADING WITHOUT THE DOLLAR… [DWIM] Yes, That’s what’s meant by re base lining’: The currently sole reserve of the USD (which only WE can print) onto additional currencies that are used as reserve as well. [Jester] DWIM BASEL III IS A WESTERN PRODUCTION… KEEP THE THOUGHT BUT IF THAT IS YOUR ONLY THOUGHT THEN YOU WILL NOT GET IT… [DWIM] K. Got it. [Jester] BECAUSE THERE IS A SERIOUS DISCONNECT RIGHT NOW ON WHO WILL BE IN CHARGE… [Jester] YOU MIGHT AS WELL START THINKING OF IT AS EAST VS WEST… AND THE EAST IS NOT UNDER THE WEST’S CONTROL ANYMORE… [DWIM] Yes, looks like there will be multiple organizations in ‘charge’, [Jester] DWIM NOT THE WAY I SEE IT BUT PLEASE LET ME TELL YOU WHY… [DWIM] Yep. I’m there. K. Listening now. [Jester] YOU ASKED A QUESTION… A VERY COMPLICATED QUESTION… LET ME TRY TO GIVE YOU THE ANSWER AS I SEE IT… [Jester] AND I AM TRYING TO ATTACH THE ANSWER TO THE BIG PICTURE THAT YOU ALL CAN SEE IS CLEARLY UNDERWAY AT THIS TIME… [Jester] OK SO THE WEST IS PRINTING MONEY TO STAVE OFF INFLATION… HAS BEEN FOR A LONG TIME… AND RIDING ON THE BACK OF THE OTHER COUNTRIES… [Jester] SO LETS SAY THE US IS EXPORTING DEBT FOR LACK OF A BETTER EXPLANATION… THERE IS MATH INVOLVED BUT THAT IS NOT SO IMPORTANT AS YOU JUST TAKE IT FOR WHAT IT IS… DEFICITS EACH YEAR AND COVERED BY BONDS… ETC. ETC…. [Jester] THAT IS US GOVT DEBT BTW…. JUST TO BE CLEAR… [Jester] WHICH JUST TO BE CLEARER… IS WHAT YOUR TAXES GO TO PAY… [Jester] THE NUMBERS ARE PROBABLY HIGHER THAN WHAT THEY REPORT… THEY FUDGE THEM TO MAKE THEM LOOK BETTER.. [Jester] OK… SO WHAT HAPPENS… [Jester] THE OTHER COUNTRIES REALIZE THIS.. THEY ARE NOT STUPID… [Jester] BUT THEY HAVE NOT HAD A VIABLE ALTERNATIVE UP UNTIL NOW… [Jester] SO… NOW YOU HAVE COUNTRIES STARTING TO WORKING WITH EACH OTHER WITHOUT THE DOLLAR… [Jester] AN EXAMPLE… YUAN SWAP FACILITIES… WHERE COUNTRIES CAN USE THE YUAN TO SETTLE THE TRADE DEBT USING THE YUAN INSTEAD OF THE DOLLAR… [Jester] THERE ARE SOME 20 OR SO COUNTRIES DOING THIS… [Jester] AND THE COUNTRIES DOING THIS MIGHT SURPRISE YOU… HOW ABOUT JAPAN… AUSTRALIA… ENGLAND… GERMANY… JUST TO MENTION SOME WESTERN COUNTRIES IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERAL ASIAN COUNTRIES… [Jester] NOW THIS IS WITH CHINA… BUT IN CASE YOU DID NOT NOTICE CHINA SURPASSED THE US AS THE LARGEST VOLUME TRADER OF IMPORTS AND EXPORTS IN THE WORLD A WHILE BACK… [Jester] SO OKAY… THEY ARE DOING IT ALL WITHOUT THE DOLLAR… [diditrvyeet] Jester our leaders have to know this too [Jester] HOW IS THE US GOING TO BRING IN IMPORTS? [Jester] THE US IMPORTS AROUND HALF OF THE GOODS… HOW WE GOING TO DO THAT IF THE OTHER COUNTRIES SAY… WE DO NOT WANT TO BE PAID IN TREASURY BILLS OR BONDS ANY MORE? [Jester] HOW WE GOING TO SUPPLY WHAT WE NEED FORM IMPORTS? [Goose] Jester have to use oil or credits [Jester] YOU SEE THE DIFFERENTIAL SHIFT HERE? [Jester] Goose VERY SMALL AMOUNT OF COLLATERAL THERE… [Jester] AND THEY ARE NOT LOOKING TO COVER YOU… LISTEN ON… [Jester] SO THE DOLLAR IS NOT SO LIKED OR WANTED… THE NATIONS ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING AN AVERSION TO TAKING THE DOLLAR… [Jester] SO… YOU HAVE A FEDERAL RESERVE NOTE… FALLING APART AT THE SEAMS…THE THEORETICAL REPLACEMENT AT THE UST WILL BE THE USN… [Jester] SO THE FRN FALLS SOME 30% MAKING IT AROUND 40% MORE EXPENSIVE TO IMPORT… [Jester] NOW… WE WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW THEY PLAN TO IMPLEMENT THE USN… HOW THAT HOLDS UP WILL BE BASED ON HOW THEY IMPLEMENT IT… [Jester] IF THEY MANAGE TO INSTITUTE IT AS GOLD BACKED AS THEY ARE TRYING TO THEN THAT SHOULD HOLD UP OKAY BUT NOT SO FAST… THERE ARE OTHER FACTORS AND IT COULD START OFF ON A HARD FOOT TOO… DO NOT ASSUME EVERYTHING WILL BE HUNKY DORY… THAT IS NOT FOR SURE… [Jester] THE US MIGHT START TRYING TO EXPORT THINGS WE NEED HERE TO MAKE UP THE DIFFERENCE… AND THAT WILL COMPLICATE THE SITUATION… [Jester] SO… WHO PAYS? [gbs] we do [Jester] GUESS WHAT… YOU STILL PAY FOR IT… OVER THE NEXT FEW YEARS OR DECADES WE WILL STILL HAVE TO BRING THE LEDGER INTO BALANCE…… [Jester] I PREDICT SOME SHORTAGES… THAT IS WHY I HAVE SAID TO HAVE A CAN OF BEANS ON HAND JUST IN CASE… YOU DO NOT LIKE TO BE OUT THERE BEATING YOUR BRAINS OUT WITH THE REST OF THE YO-YOS THAT DO NOT KNOW ANY OF THIS.. [Jester] YOU KNOW… IF YOU DO NOT PREPARE THEN YOU HAVE NO ONE TO BLAME BUT YOURSELF… [Goose] Jester So true [Jester] IF IT DOES NOT GET TO THAT POINT THEN DONATE A FEW CANNED GOODS TO THE HOMELESS AT CHRISTMAS… HAHAHAHA [Jester] I HAVE BEEN RIGHT SO FAR… WE ARE STILL HERE… WHAT IF I AM RIGHT ABOUT THIS TOO… JUST SAYING… [Jester] IF YOU BELIEVE THAT YOUR GOVERNMENT WOULD NEVER DO THIS TO YOU THEN KEEP DRINKING THE FLUORIDATED WATER KOOL-AID… HAHAHAHAHA [gbs] Jester it sounds like we need much more than 6mos worth? [Jester] gbs I KIND OF DOUBT THAT… THINGS SHOULD LEVEL OUT… BUT WHO KNOWS… [gbs] ok thanks [DWIM] FWIW, people I’ve talked to measure in terms of 2-3 months. That’s what we’ve planned for.
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