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Is Geoengineering Pushing Us Into Climate Chaos?

Sunday, April 5, 2015 15:02

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(Before It's News)

By William Thomas

Guest Writer for Wake Up World

Courtesy of Geoengineering Watch

Is Geoengineering pushing us into climate chaos? The short answer is yes. Here’s how…

Start with something dynamic, like the weather and its increasing propensity toward sudden, drastic and lingering surprises. As the geological record of mass extinctions repeatedly shows, if pushed too far by various atmospheric conditions (like mass methane releases or meltwater shutdowns of ocean circulations), the longer-term weather patterns we call ‘climate’ can change drastically, for a very long time, within a decade. Or a year.

Geoengineers understand that complex weather behaviour emerges from a few simple initial conditions. Change those conditions along a broad atmospheric front by deploying aerial refuelling tankers to spread particles that accrete moisture and scatter incoming sunlight, absorb energy from ionospheric heaters like HAARP, or rapidly cool air masses by dispensing ice-nucleating chemicals that act like an airborne flash mob – and you change the heat balance of that airspace and thus the resulting weather. Do this repeatedly, spreading megatons of atmospheric-forcing particulates behind hundreds of heavy aircraft for many years and even climate can be altered.

But which way will it jump?

If the flapping of a butterfly’s wings can randomly influence the course of a distant hurricane, consider an air force “wing” of 72 jet tankers, each spreading 200,000 poundsof aerosol particles one-tenth the diameter of a human hair along a flight path traversing thousands of miles. With our compounding emissions already hurrying heat and humidity in some places to the edge of liveable limits, geoengineering is the unwelcome bully that threatens to jerk the trigger on looming Abrupt Climate Shift. (Geoengineering aerosols over Belgium – above)

Juggling Snakes

Earth’s climate system is chaotic enough to turn occasional stumbles into full-fledged flipouts. So the last thing anyone would want to do is to trigger such an upset with planeloads of monkey-wrenching aerosols. Right?

To elevate such planetary roulette from the status of blind swings at a constantly shifting atmosphericpiñata to a reliably predictable science, the desired weather/climate output must be proportional to each atmospheric modification input. And the resulting atmospheric events must also react the same ways every time. That’s why we call such predictable progressions, linear. But the atmosphere, like life, is nonlinear.

Nonlinear means “full of surprises”. While short-term moisture, temperature and pressure trends can presage near-term weather over a day or two, the further into the future forecasts extend, the more variables are introduced by air masses feeding back on themselves. Other wild cards faced by the geoengineers include heat-trapping gases accumulated over the past 200 years, atmospheric and oceanic “feedbacks” like major methane burps, hyper-evaporation, warming waters and melting ice sheets, unscheduled volcanic eruptions, the fracking plague, and climax civilizations bristling with dirty stacks and exhausts – plus their own geoengineering efforts, ongoing since at least 1997 when I broke this story worldwide for Environment News Service. [see Chemtrails Confirmed 2010 by William Thomas]

Because changes in Earth’s intricately-coupled biosphere occur simultaneously and interactively, attempting to anticipate and alter so many constantly changing conditions makes large-scale climate modification an exercise in juggling snakes. Begin with a few characteristics of the long-term weather patterns you want to change; Just seven building blocks can interact with each other one million different ways. Jump to a hundred climate-determining factors and each one will interact with the other 99, yielding 10 billion possibilities. Some outcomes are more likely than others, but this hardly precludes unpleasant nonlinear responses to deliberate planet meddling. [see “Considering Complexity” by William Thomas, Southwest Airlines Spirit magazine 1994]

Remember, the atmosphere is an “adaptive” participant in every geoengineering mugging, responding to each input every time with widely different outcomes. Since abrupt discontinuities are a prime feature of nonlinear systems, when attempting large-scale weather modification, unintended consequences are built-in. Like turning off the African and Asian monsoons on which many billions of not-just-human lives depend. [see 20 Reasons Why Geoengineering May Be A Bad Idea by Alan Robock, via www.climate.envsci.rutgers.edu]

The result of all this atmospheric forcing is climate chaos. “Chaotic” means “unpredictable”. Punch-drunk by our ever-accumulating heat-trapping exhausts, at least 17 years of concerted geoengineering efforts, a wonky jetstream, and dozens of amplifying feedbacks from thawing tundra, clearcut forests, burning forests, melting ice sheets and the expanding ocean heat reservoir (for example) – it’s no wonder so much inconvenient weather is lurching across this planet.

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