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Western politicians and journalists don’t seem to know what to make of the 5+1 agreement. Many of them do not believe in our analyses and fail to understand what has in fact been negotiated. However, for Thierry Meyssan, at least three events this week seem to be directly connected to the agreement.
TND Guest Contributor: Thierry Meyssan |
The signature of the “5+1″ agreement with Iran about its nuclear programme is shaking up the Middle East, and consequently, the world order. Although international commentators are extremely hesitant about what is coming next, I shall continue my analysis on the basis of what I have been publishing since the beginning of the negotiations.
Having neutralised the Cuban opposition, the neutralisation of the Iranian opposition is a master-stroke for Barack Obama, because it leaves Russia and China isolated. And indeed, it really is a neutralisation – while Iran has not completely abandoned the anti-imperialist ideals of Ali Shariati and the Imam Rouhollah Khomeiny, it has renounced the idea of entering into conflict with the United States, which means it has given up the idea of exporting the revolution.
Although we know nothing about the different bilateral side-agreements between Washington and Teheran, we can see – within less than a week – a new landscape beginning to unfold, which, for the moment, conforms to my predictions [1].
Several potential actors have not yet spoken up, in particular, the Europeans. It is most unlikely that they will oppose the implementation of the agreement, on the contrary, they will probably attempt to play a part. On this subject, the German Minister for Foreign Affairs, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, has evoked the possibility of favouring peace in Syria by organising a 5+1-type conference on the question. Even though it’s hard to see the legitimacy of such an idea, this sort of initiative should not trouble Washington. On the one hand, it would enable the US to change it’s policy on Syria more easily. On the other, the territories occupied by the Europeans would mean less space for Iran. In any case, for Barack Obama, in Syria, the time has come to “deal with the winner.”
NOTES:
[1] Read my weekly chronicles for the last two years. In particular, these six articles :
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About Thierry Meyssan:
French intellectual, founder and chairman of Voltaire Network and the Axis for Peace Conference. His columns specializing in international relations feature in daily newspapers and weekly magazines in Arabic, Spanish and Russian. His last two books published in English : 9/11 the Big Lie and Pentagate.
This article was published on the Voltaire Network and is licensed under Creative Commons CC BY-NC-ND.
Source : “First consequences of the 5+1 agreement”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Pete Kimberley, Voltaire Network, 20 July 2015,www.voltairenet.org/article188220.html