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In the West, most intel analysts have a habit of saying that Putin is dangerous and unpredictable. He always seems to be one step ahead of the US, and his actions often come as a complete surprise to Western governments. He keeps his cards close, and allegedly, even many of his closest advisers are not aware of his long-term plans. In addition to this, his history as a spy with KGB taught him a thing or two on counter-intelligence and misdirection, and he is hyper aware of the fact that what he says could telegraph his intentions. In short, Putin is one tough cookie to crack.
Obviously this worries most people in the US intelligence community, such as Gregory Treverton, the chairman of the National Intelligence Council. As far as world figures go, he views Putin as the most difficult person to unravel.
“Putin is so isolated that the chances that he might miscalculate and do something rash are top of my list for things I worry about,” says Treverton. “I am fond of distinguishing between puzzles — those things that have an answer, though we may not know it — and mysteries, those things that are iffy and contingent. And so how Putin is going to behave is presumably a mystery, and probably even a mystery to Putin.”
He makes it sound like Putin is an agent of chaos. A wild card if you will. However, it’s more likely that Putin is just smarter than our intelligence agencies give him credit for, which gives him the appearance of being unpredictable. After all, smart people always seem wily and magical to people who lack imagination. It’s obvious that he isn’t making random and rash decisions, because after the fact, those decisions often make a lot of sense.
Case in point, Putin’s recent decision to pull the bulk of his military forces out of Syria.
President Vladimir Putin announced out of the blue on Monday that “the main part” of Russian armed forces in Syria would start to withdraw, telling his diplomats to step up the push for peace as U.N.-mediated talks resumed on ending the five-year-old war.
Damascus rejected any suggestion of a rift with Moscow, saying President Bashar al-Assad had agreed on the “reduction” of Russian forces in a telephone call with Putin.
Western diplomats speculated that Putin may be trying to press Assad into accepting a political settlement to the war, which has killed 250,000 people, although U.S. officials saw no sign yet of Russian forces preparing to pull out.
The anti-Assad opposition expressed bafflement, with a spokesman saying, “Nobody knows what is in Putin’s mind”.
Just as the West was blindsided by Russia’s move into Syria, they were equally shocked to hear that he was pulling out. As of this writing, Putin has followed through on his promise, and Russian fighter jets are periodically being flown out of the country. Troop withdrawals are expected to follow very soon. Meanwhile, the Western media is still scrambling to figure out why this is happening.
They keep saying that Russia is trying to stifle Assad’s hubris, or that they’re afraid the Syrian war is going to turn into a quagmire, or some nonsense like that. So what’s the real reason Putin ordered this surprising withdrawal? In a sense, it’s a demonstration of Russia’s power and newfound political clout. According to Paul Craig Roberts:
With ISIS beat down, there is less danger of Washington using a peace-seeking ceasefire to resurrect the Islamic State’s military capability. Therefore, the risk Putin is taking by trusting Washington is worth the payoff if the result is to enhance Russian diplomacy and elevate it above Washington’s reliance on threats, coercion, and violence. What Putin is really aiming for is to make Europeans realize that by serving as Washington’s vassals European governments are supporting violence over peace and may themselves be swept by the neoconservatives into a deadly conflict with Russia that would ensure Europe’s destruction.
Putin has also demonstrated that, unlike Washington, Russia is able to achieve decisive military results in a short time without Russian casualties and to withdraw without becoming a permanent occupying force. This very impressive performance is causing the world to rethink which country is really the superpower.
Does anyone get the sense that while Washington is playing checkers, Putin is playing chess? I sure do.
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Contributed by Joshua Krause of The Daily Sheeple.
Joshua Krause is a reporter, writer and researcher at The Daily Sheeple. He was born and raised in the Bay Area and is a freelance writer and author. You can follow Joshua’s reports at Facebook or on his personal Twitter. Joshua’s website is Strange Danger .
Gun Enthusiasts – Let Your Voices Be Heard
The real Putin is dead. We are all under the control of one global cabal aka the Jesuits aka Satanists. Everything else is misdirection.
I think that Israel has got the message that it won’t be allowed to steel land from Syria and Turkey now knows it could well face nukes if it attacks so i think a deal has been struck in the backgroud that none of us will ever know about.
NATO should think about kicking Turkey out due to giving ISIS sarin gas and they are now killing more of their own people than Assad was ever accused of and yet our BBC thinks no one knows about this if they say nothing.
People in Europe need to get ready for 3 million immigrants comeing our way and think about what that will do to wages.
Well said! My sentiments exactly! I’m American & I love me some Vlad. He’s a genius. I rarely pay attention to Western mass media because it infuriates me to realize that in most instances it is nothing more than a mouthpiece for the evil Elite. Yet I am curious as to how they’re painting this move of Putin’s. They can’t say he’s a warmongering madman who psychopathically enjoys killing civilians. They can’t say he’s callously violating the sovereignty of another nation (the notion of which is so absurd given that sovereignty violation is the U.S. government’s favorite pastime). So can the Obama regime get away with damning Putin for ‘murdering’ the so-called ‘moderate (ISIS) rebels’ & bombing Syrian hospitals (the latter being a total lie) in one breath & then accuse him of prematurely & irresponsibly withdrawing from Syria while leaving it in chaotic ruins in another? Yeah, if any regime could get away with that insidious depth of hypocrisy, it’s my government. Whatever the response of the West, however, I just hope Putin stays one or more steps ahead of NATO, because by doing so he’s keeping them from starting their beloved WWIII. I have to give a round of applause to John Kerry though. A couple of weeks ago he made a public statement that contradicted what Killary Clinton had said just prior. Killary had commented that ‘Putin is more dangerous than ISIS’ – oh puhl-lease! Then John Kerry stood up & said, ‘That’s wrong. Putin is not more dangerous than ISIS’. Hurrah, John. I typically think of him as an impotent ass, but on this occasion he courageously did the right thing.
YOU SHEEPLE DON’T HAVE A FRIGGIN CLUE WHATS REALLY GOING ON.