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from Zero Hedge:
There was a time when it was nothing short of economic blasphemy and statist apostasy to suggest three things: i) that the Fed’s canonic approach to monetary policy, in which Stock not Flow was dominant, is wrong (as we alleged, among many other places, here); ii) that the Fed is monetizing the deficit, thus enabling politicians to conceive any idiotic fiscal policy: the Fed will always fund it no matter how ludicrous, converting the Fed effectively into a political power and destroying any myth of its “independence” (as we alleged, among many other places, most recently here in direct refutation of Bernanke’s sworn testimony); and iii) that by overfunding bank reserves, the same banks are left with one simple trade – to frontrum the Fed in its monetization of the long-end, in the process destroying the bond curve’s relevance as an inflationary discounting signal, with more QE, leading to tighter 10s, flatter 10s30s, even as the propensity for runaway inflation down the road soars, in the process eliminating any need for the massively overhyped, and much needed to rekindle animal spirits “rotation out of bonds and into stocks” trade (as we explained, first, here). Well, that time is now officially over, with that stalwart of statist thinking, JPMorgan, adopting all of the above contrarian views as its own, and admitting that once again, the Fed and conventional wisdom was wrong, and fringe bloggers were right all along.
2012-12-16 22:00:21