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Written by Sig Silber
We now better understand the data update that NOAA performed probably on or about June 9 and what the implications are. They may be more extensive than just the recategorization of ENSO events. The current El Nino strengthens as it peaks and begins its inevitable decline. That is the way of all El Nino and La Nina events. The peak strength of the El Nino this Fall may be determined by the current or subsequent Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO).