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Written by Sig Silber
The end of month update only covers the following month but sometimes that data also provides clues with respect to subsequent months – and I think that is the case this time. Also July does not appear to be evolving exactly as projected in the June 30 Update and involves a fairly complicated pattern change. Thus confidence in the second week of the 6 – 14 Day Outlook is less than usual. Meteorological Agencies continue to project that this El Nino will strengthen and hang around for a while but I will discuss why I think it is a short-timer. The North American Monsoon appears to be developing a bit further west than earlier predicted. So there is nothing major to discuss but there are a number of different issues which will impact weather where you live.