Why Did The Met Office Forecast A Dry Winter?

For the December-January-February period as a whole there is a slight signal for below-average precipitation. –-Met Office forecast, 23 November 2014

It is all very well for the Met Office to claim that they know the reason for the recent wet and stormy weather, but it is clear they knew no such thing last November, when they forecast the likely probability of a dry winter. Certainly, the factors in the Pacific, that they now blame, were in play at the time. (If they were not, then they are just “weather”, and cannot be claimed to be linked to “climate change”). None of this gives us much confidence in the Met Office’s ability to forecast more than a few days out. But it must surely also cast doubt on the worth of the latest report, which seems to be a rushed attempt to explain recent bad weather. –Paul Homewood, Not A Lot Of People Know That, 9 February 2014

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