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FX Large Speculators reduced US Dollar bullish bets last week for 2nd week

Saturday, April 11, 2015 17:28
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(Before It's News)

By CountingPips.com

USD net speculator positions edged down slightly last week to $40.27 billion

cot-values

The latest data for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and currency speculators slightly decreased their overall net bullish positions for the US dollar last week as the US dollar bets fell for a second week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling $40.27 billion as of Tuesday April 7th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and dollar amount calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly change of -$0.10 billion from the $40.37 billion total long position that was registered on March 31st, according to the Reuters calculation that totals the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

The latest data leaves the US dollar speculative level just slightly over the $40 billion level for a third straight week. The total spec level has only fallen below the $40 billion mark once (on March 24th) this year as speculators have maintained a strong bullish sentiment for the dollar.

Overall Speculative Net US Dollar Contracts

cot-contracts

In terms of total net speculative contracts, overall US dollar contracts fell last week to a total of +361,335 contracts as of Tuesday April 7th. This was a weekly change of -5,305 contracts from the total of +366,640 contracts as of Tuesday March 31st. This total US dollar contracts calculation takes into account more currencies than the Reuters dollar amount total and is derived by adding the sum of each individual currencies net position versus the dollar. Currency contracts used in the calculation are the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar and the Mexican peso.

Major Currency Weekly Levels & Changes: New Zealand dollar pushes higher in bullish territory against USD

cot-standings

Weekly changes for the major currencies showed that large speculators increased their bets in favor of the euro, British pound sterling, New Zealand dollar and the Mexican Peso while decreasing weekly bets for the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar and the Australian dollar.

Notable Changes:

  • The euro bets rose for the first time in five weeks to -215,258 contracts.
  • Japanese yen bets fell slightly after gaining for previous three weeks to the best position since 2012
  • Swiss franc bets edged down to a very slightly bullish position of +120 contracts
  • New Zealand dollar positions gained for a fourth week and pushed slightly higher into bullish territory (+5,778 contracts)
  • Australian dollar bets dropped sharply after gaining for three weeks and fell to lowest level in four weeks

This latest COT data is through Tuesday April 7th and shows a quick view of how large speculators and for-profit traders (non-commercials) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.

Please see the individual currency charts and their respective data points below.




Weekly Charts: Large Speculators Weekly Positions vs Currency Spot Price

EuroFX:

eurofx

Last Six Weeks data for EuroFX futures

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Large Specs Net Weekly Change
03/03/2015 440733 48467 220856 -172389 5347
03/10/2015 496465 61271 242344 -181073 -8684
03/17/2015 449508 56329 250103 -193774 -12701
03/24/2015 460950 50148 271111 -220963 -27189
03/31/2015 459746 41709 268269 -226560 -5597
04/07/2015 441624 39444 254702 -215258 11302



British Pound Sterling:

gbp

Last Six Weeks data for Pound Sterling futures

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Large Specs Net Weekly Change
03/03/2015 165737 44563 71471 -26908 -5038
03/10/2015 205166 48053 80644 -32591 -5683
03/17/2015 188238 47155 85006 -37851 -5260
03/24/2015 178140 35938 74495 -38557 -706
03/31/2015 182514 35143 71773 -36630 1927
04/07/2015 185219 37641 71942 -34301 2329



Japanese Yen:

jpy

Last Six Weeks data for Yen Futures

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Large Specs Net Weekly Change
03/03/2015 210611 33944 86465 -52521 -5009
03/10/2015 235089 32898 92285 -59387 -6866
03/17/2015 195913 44496 92550 -48054 11333
03/24/2015 181026 39156 85061 -45905 2149
03/31/2015 177478 44409 68333 -23924 21981
04/07/2015 189444 53320 77769 -24449 -525



Swiss Franc:

chf

Last Six Weeks data for Franc futures

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Large Specs Net Weekly Change
03/03/2015 40861 7027 13089 -6062 -977
03/10/2015 52384 7217 15597 -8380 -2318
03/17/2015 38889 18129 15894 2235 10615
03/24/2015 36296 12604 16559 -3955 -6190
03/31/2015 34149 13679 12973 706 4661
04/07/2015 33245 12746 12626 120 -586



Canadian Dollar:

cad

Last Six Weeks data for Canadian dollar futures

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Large Specs Net Weekly Change
03/03/2015 121344 24332 63195 -38863 -2618
03/10/2015 146639 22011 61041 -39030 -167
03/17/2015 158576 21001 53823 -32822 6208
03/24/2015 106731 19193 51849 -32656 166
03/31/2015 110447 18771 48389 -29618 3038
04/07/2015 114881 22081 52100 -30019 -401



Australian Dollar:

aud

Last Six Weeks data for Australian dollar futures

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Large Specs Net Weekly Change
03/03/2015 136841 13652 75197 -61545 1609
03/10/2015 196534 15137 91988 -76851 -15306
03/17/2015 152746 63046 91853 -28807 48044
03/24/2015 135693 52079 80447 -28368 439
03/31/2015 138260 55814 80170 -24356 4012
04/07/2015 159532 55928 96209 -40281 -15925



New Zealand Dollar:

nzd

Last Six Weeks data for New Zealand dollar futures

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Large Specs Net Weekly Change
03/03/2015 27610 14597 15964 -1367 2963
03/10/2015 29726 13347 15827 -2480 -1113
03/17/2015 23317 13117 14258 -1141 1339
03/24/2015 20958 12149 13015 -866 275
03/31/2015 24049 16443 12412 4031 4897
04/07/2015 24920 16950 11172 5778 1747



Mexican Peso:

mexican-peso

Last Six Weeks data for Mexican Peso futures

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Large Specs Net Weekly Change
03/03/2015 178057 31414 74821 -43407 4937
03/10/2015 185039 30622 66269 -35647 7760
03/17/2015 135144 23702 79641 -55939 -20292
03/24/2015 150320 35044 76144 -41100 14839
03/31/2015 157688 43289 73578 -30289 10811
04/07/2015 151072 42185 65110 -22925 7364



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.) See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.

All information contained in this article cannot be guaranteed to be accurate and is used at your own risk. All information and opinions on this website are for general informational purposes only and do not in any way constitute investment advice.




Article by CountingPips.comForex Apps & News



Source: http://countingpips.com/2015/04/fx-large-speculators-reduced-us-dollar-bullish-bets-last-week-for-2nd-week/

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