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The True Chinese Credit Bubble: 240% Of GDP And Soaring
Be prepared for the next great transfer of wealth. Buy physical silver and storable food.
zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / 04/11/2013 15:54
Several months ago we pointed out something not fully grasped by the broader public: the Chinese corporate debt bubble is the largest of any developed and developing country, and at 151% of GDP (and rising rapidly) is the biggest in the world. What is better known is that corporate debt is just one part of the total debt picture, which also includes consumer loans, government debt and other “shadow debt” credit in the case of China. So how does China’s true debt picture as a percentage of debt look? As the chart below from Goldman shows, in 2013 the total credit outstanding in China is expected to rise to a whopping 240% of GDP, and continue rising from there at an ever faster pace.
What is even more concerning is that in order to maintain its breakneck economic “growth” of ~8% per year, China has to continue injecting massive amounts of debt, the so called “credit impulse” or “flow” which according to assorted views, is what is the true driver of an economy, and where GDP growth is merely a reflection of how much credit is entering (or leaving) the system.
Thanks to BrotherJohnF
2013-04-12 00:32:06
Source: http://silveristhenew.com/2013/04/11/the-true-chinese-credit-bubble-240-of-gdp-and-soaring-2/
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