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NEXT BIG QUAKE
Apparently I can’t include a table. Also, I entered the comment too soon.
Anyway, I compared Dr. Turi’s predictions in his 2014 Moon Power Starguide with the USGS list of earthquakes above 6.0 for January through May. Dr. Turi divided each month into periods of two to seven days, with most being four or five days. There were 35 periods evaluated. I separated the explicit prediction of earthquakes from prediction of natural disasters.
There were only seven periods with no earthquakes, so earthquakes occurred in 80% of the periods. Of those seven periods, two predicted an earthquake; two predicted a natural disaster; and three correctly did not predict either for a success rate of 35% . Of the 28 periods with earthquakes, an earthquake was predicted in 12; a natural disaster was predicted in 7; and there was no prediction of either in 9 for a success rate of 68%.
Considering that Dr. Turi claims he accurately predicts every major earthquake, it appears that he misses about a third and mistakenly predicts about two-thirds.
If the evaluation were limited to explicit earthquake predictions (I.e., excluding the periods with just natural disasters predicted) the corresponding rates are missing earthquakes 57% of the time and predicting earthquakes which did not occur 29% of the time.
*******
As I wrote earlier, I am getting all sorts of excuses and ridiculous maths designed to dismiss the validity of my work! I gave you a date ET VOILA! The facts is I am offering the envious young souls the date of April 13th and still ridiculous maths and more silly excuses… Check this from/terrorism/2015/03/deliberated-germanwings-fligh…
MAR 30, 2015 DefaOmega – Well Dr. Turi you see April 13th is 14 days from now. 14 divided by 2.7 (which again is the average) is 5.18. So statistically speaking about 5. Again, I’m not really saying there will be 5 but statistically it would be. I think if I was going to make some “bold prediction” I’d say 3. I mean that’s what you’d do anyway. Make sure your predictions are well within the average. I hope I’ve written this in a way that is easy enough for you to comprehend. If you have any questions about the complicated mathematical equations I used to reach this answer feel free to ask in a comment. Good Luck.
drturi – So I am expecting 5 quakes above 6.0 between today and April 13th… Its seems your mathematics can only fit your calculated / educated idiocy defaOmega… Please make note of those 5 earthquakes and let the world know you are smarter than Dr. Turi by posting them on BIN!
At least defa has guts and use his logic where there is no logic but supreme cosmic wisdom… So nut up and show some intelligence guys, tell me how many quakes above 6.0 will take place between today and April 13th so I can prove my claims again and again lol
updated!
From DefaOmega – What an honor to be included in your article.
I said a fair prediction would be 3 even though the average mathematically would say 5. Today is Day 1 and there was a 6.0 earthquake today. So far I’m right on schedule for my accurate prediction.
This isn’t some cosmic wisdom or any black magic crap, it’s purely a numbers game. It’s very simple to the point where anyone can do it. If you give yourself a three-day window you can statistically say there will be a earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher at any time.
I really don’t understand how/why you’re still posting and making it seem like you’re doing anything special… Good Luck.
DT rebuttal: The problem with atheists, skeptics and educated agnostic scientists alike is that; they do not or can not read English and my posts properly! ABOVE 6.0 – ABOVE 6.0 - ABOVE 6.0
Memo from BIN – /prophecy/2015/03/earthquakes-predictions-there-is-no-denying-dr-turis-gift-2468214.html#comment_341886 “So I am expecting 5 quakes above 6.0 between today and April 13th? Its seems your mathematics can only fit your calculated / educated idiocy defa Omega… Please make note of those 5 earthquakes and let the world know you are smarter than Dr. Turi by posting them on BIN! Next big quake ABOVE 6.0 is set for April 13th 2015.”
read more idiocy from http://www.atheistrepublic.com/forums/debate-room/challenging-all-atheists-astrology-reliable-science?page=1#comment-20943
What an honor to be included in your article.
I said a fair prediction would be 3 even though the average mathematically would say 5. Today is Day 1 and there was a 6.0 earthquake today. So far I’m right on schedule for my accurate prediction.
This isn’t some cosmic wisdom or any black magic crap, it’s purely a numbers game. It’s very simple to the point where anyone can do it. If you give yourself a three-day window you can statistically say there will be a earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher at any time.
I really don’t understand how/why you’re still posting and making it seem like you’re doing anything special…
Good Luck.
From DefaOmega – What an honor to be included in your article.
I said a fair prediction would be 3 even though the average mathematically would say 5. Today is Day 1 and there was a 6.0 earthquake today. So far I’m right on schedule for my accurate prediction.
This isn’t some cosmic wisdom or any black magic crap, it’s purely a numbers game. It’s very simple to the point where anyone can do it. If you give yourself a three-day window you can statistically say there will be a earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher at any time.
I really don’t understand how/why you’re still posting and making it seem like you’re doing anything special… Good Luck.
DT rebuttal: The problem with atheists, skeptics and educated agnostic scientists alike is that; they do not or can not read English and my posts properly!
Memo from BIN – /prophecy/2015/03/earthquakes-predictions-there-is-no-denying-dr-turis-gift-2468214.html#comment_341886 “So I am expecting 5 quakes above 6.0 between today and April 13th? Its seems your mathematics can only fit your calculated / educated idiocy defa Omega… Please make note of those 5 earthquakes and let the world know you are smarter than Dr. Turi by posting them on BIN! Next big quake ABOVE 6.0 is set for April 13th 2015.”
@DrTuri
The article you posted there (the one I originally commented on) you say “Note, wait and see…NEXT EARTHQUAKE OF A 6.0 OR ABOVE…”. This is where I was getting the 6.0 or greater. You see the problem isn’t that I cannot or will not read English but that you say so many crazy things you forget them.
Good Luck.
You still find silly excuses… Watch or listen to the repetitive facts about my above 6.0 quakes that supposed to happen every so often lol https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fuf6dOwLQw