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Why Obama Will Lose
Monty Pelerin / EconomicNoise.com
This post is from two years ago (September 29, 2010). It represents my view of Obama then and what would happen in the mid-term elections (then about 5 weeks away). In the last two years Obama’s record has only become more dismal and his character flaws and ethics have been revealed. Virtually everything he has touched has been a failure (although he claims successes, still believing his words are more important than our eyes or the actual data).
Two years later we are again about five weeks away from an election. The media and the pollsters would have you believe that Obama has a lock on being re-elected. The public knew much less about Obama then than they do now. It is incredible to me that pollsters are publishing (with a straight and serious face) the numbers they are. Look for these pollsters to move toward reality as the election nears, not because they will have a clearer vision but because they will eventually be judged in terms of their accuracy during the few weeks preceding the election (especially their last polls). These last polls are their samples for future business. They will change because they value future business more than Obama’s re-election.
There may be a closure effect in the media as well, although it will be less easy to spot. The media publishes qualitative rather than quantitative substance, which somewhat protects them from the clear-cut conclusions that can be drawn against quantitative data. Many media people seem immune to shame and unconcerned about their reputations. The alternative hypothesis of stupidity is also a possibility. Living in their own world, their errors are reinforced by fellow thinkers.
Nevertheless, some members of the media will realize what is coming and abandon their positions rather than go down with the Obama ship. Watch them in the last two weeks preceding the election to see the hedging and perhaps a Road to Damascus conversion or two.
Regardless of how the pollsters and media react, I have no basis to change what was written two years ago. If anything, matters have gotten worse for the Democrats and Obama. Obama’s “magic” is gone. Those who were infatuated by him four years ago are disappointed, disillusioned and possibly angry. Many of them will not vote for him again.
Blacks are disillusioned as their “Great Black Hope” has made their lives more, not less, miserable. They will turn out in smaller numbers this time. College students who came out in droves to vote for the rock star are now jobless, living at home with their parents. They too will turn out in smaller numbers and some who turn out will switch sides. The same can be said about most other identifiable groups.
I cannot think of one sub-group that Obama might benefit from. Perhaps his support from Hispanics will increase, but I am unsure about that. Whether they do or not, it is difficult to imagine Obama doing anywhere close to what he achieved in 2008. As I have written elsewhere, his biggest advantage of 2008 — people did not know him and could imagine him to be whatever they were looking for — is gone. Now his biggest liability is that too many people know him!
Romney is not the best candidate in this American Idol World of politics. Competency and success seem not to be honored by the electorate. Nevertheless, the bulk of Americans are looking to dump the current albatross and many others need only the slightest excuse to do so. If Romney does not blow it in the debates, I think 2010 will be another huge surprise and embarrassment for Dems and their public relations specialists (otherwise known as the media and most pollsters).
http://www.economicnoise.com
I agree with the principle of this post. The current administration isn’t about prosperity – it’s about taking from someone to give to someone else. That will ultimately fail, even if they get re-elected. The Romney campaign is about achieving something. It isn’t easy, and it takes a lot more work to ‘create’ a business, learn new skills, do something risky, but it is far, far better for our country to focus on the positive than to assume someone else is going to just hand it out to us. We’re in for incredible bad times if we think someone else is going to pick up our slack.
The main problem is the MSM who never have anything bad to report on him. If a Republican had done some of the things that Comrade Obama has done it would be headline news every day.
Mayday mayday, do it one time I dare you, vote (I) Inedendent. It’s going viral, vote for Governor Mr. Gary Johnson for President of the United States of America. Probably thinking it’s a big laugh, giggles, and smiles, my vote will be wasted but in truth it’s a fact that the American fools better vote a constitutionalist in office or the American citizens may as well be dead. Criminal paid accomplices in the mainstream faux news new world order propaganda TV media defiled American’s with obama brainwash treasonous noise and now that same evil wants mitt jackass romney, wake up, mayday mayday, don’t vote for your own world war III death.
As a Christian, for the life of me, I can’t see how any real christian could vote for Obama with his support of Abortion and gay marrage, both against Gods Laws.
As much as I hope and pray that the poster is right, if the polls are to be beleived, if the election were held now Obama would win the popluar vote by a couple to a few percentage points. However, when you look at how the electoral votes (how elections are decided) have been lining up the loss for Romney would be far worse. Perhaps the polls have been way off or Romney will start getting more traction. There is no overestimating the overt bias of the Press and the ignorance of the American electorate!
According to Nostradamus (a couple of excerpts here from NEGRO RICE article)
8 70 ALL FRIENDS MADE BY THE ADULTEROUS LADY
(C. Rice accidentally called G W Bush “my husband” at an international meeting)
1 79 1 USA CONDONE CONDOLEEZA ZEALOTS
2 96 1 RICE FINAL PRESIDENT – FAILED LEADER
8 42 1 RICE FOR VICTOR
5 67 3 RICE QUERIES SATYRIC COST AQTI (hidden agenda)
ACQUIRES ARISTROCATIC STRIFE
7 26 3 RICE PRODUCE COUP
8 51 3 OPPOSE NEGRO LONGER NAME
2 72 4 USED THE RUINS – RICE POUNCING RUDEST PERTINENCE
4 26 4 APHRODITE (asteroid) RICE PERIOD
6 100 4 RICE QUOTES ALIQUOTS [several things] FILTERS CORE SECRETS
8 20 4 RICE PERIMELE [backstabber] TRUE NARCOTIC ACCRETION
NATURE REACTIVE CATANATIVE PROP
( PROP means ‘the common thing’ – volcanoes in this case]
10 3 1 RICE – IMPEACHER – REMAND
10 4 2 USA LAWYERESS BUSIEST RULE – LAW BITES USA NAUSEOUSLY
10 32 3 MASTER DEPUTISE NEGRO or NEGRO DEPUTISE MASTER
The full two page forum is at http://www.hiddentextSofnostradamus.com
(by tomorrow Oct 5)
In 2008 we went through the parking lot an identified all cars with Obama stickers – 17. All of their owners were laid off by December. I will again do the same thing this year.
He will lose if The Bilderbergers have chosen someone else to replace him – if not, he will go back for another 4 years.
“Those who vote decided nothing – those who count the votes decide everything.” – Josef Stalin
Tuff statement but 100% true but please dont forget the remaining mud dwelling fecal matter… Rothschilds and the Rockefellers, the trilateral committee who all guide the final decision.
Obama will lose cause he can’t debate without his teleprompter lol beside another 4 years with him would be disastrous.