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Trump update 9\2\2015.. four to eight years of “The Apprentice” on steroids?

Wednesday, September 2, 2015 17:59
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(Before It's News)

Donald Trump Talks To Michael Savage On ‘The Savage Nation’ (9-2-15)

Donald Trump FULL Interview Don Lemon – CNN – 9-1-15

Rush Limbaugh on Romney ’16: “The last best hope is 2012′s loser?”

The Inside Scoop on Trump

Trump And Jeb Bush Squabble Over Who Loves Hillary More

0:00 / 2:00
Agenda Project’s Erik Altieri: Trump a “Cancer” on GOP

Andrew O’Hehir on Trump & Sanders’ Treatment in the Mainstream Media

Clinton Goes Under Water; Trump Polarization Grows

Negative views of Hillary Clinton have jumped to nearly their highest on record in ABC News/Washington Post polls, while Donald Trump’s personal popularity has grown more polarized along racial and ethnic lines.

Clinton’s favorability has burbled back under water: 45 percent of Americans now see her favorably, down 7 percentage points since midsummer, while 53 percent rate her unfavorably, up 8. Her unfavorable score is a single point from its highest in ABC/Post polls dating back 23 years; that came in April 2008, in the midst of her last presidential campaign.

See PDF with full results, charts and tables here.

Trump is much farther under water than Clinton, rated favorably by 37 percent of Americans and unfavorably by 59 percent. That reflects a slight 4-point rise in favorability since mid-July, entirely among whites, +6 points. Nonwhites see Trump negatively by a vast 17-79 percent, unchanged among Hispanics and more negative among blacks, by 16 points, since midsummer.

That said, whites are the majority group –- 64 percent of the adult population -– and they now divide evenly on Trump, 48-49 percent, favorable-unfavorable. Clinton, by contrast, is far more unpopular than Trump among whites, 34-65 percent. So while racial and ethnic polarization is on the rise in views of Trump, it remains even higher for Clinton.

Given their support profiles -– Clinton’s more popular in groups that are less likely to be registered -– the difference in her and Trump’s popularity narrows among registered voters. In this group Clinton’s favorable-unfavorable score is 43-56 percent (-13 points); Trump’s is 40-58 percent (-18). Negative views of Clinton among registered voters are up by 10 points from July, while Trump’s ratings in this group are essentially unchanged.

Two others were tested in this survey, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates:

Jeb Bush, even while generating far less controversy than Trump, is seen almost as negatively, by 17 points overall, 38-55 percent. Bush’s favorable rating is flat while his unfavorable score is up 8 points since July, including 9-point increases among Republicans and independents alike. He’s also lost ground among conservatives, and is especially weak among strong conservatives, a group in which Trump far surpasses Bush.

Joe Biden lands an even score, 46-46 percent. He hasn’t announced candidacy, a move that can sharpen divisions as candidates start staking out positions on controversial issues, catching flak and aiming some of their own.

Favorability taps into a public figure’s basic overall image; a negative score indicates thin ice. Clinton’s has been especially uneven, from as high as 67 percent favorable during her tenure as secretary of state to as low as 44 percent in spring 2008 and 45 percent now.

Clinton was somewhat better rated at roughly this time in the 2008 cycle: In November 2007 she had a 50-46 percent favorable-unfavorable rating. Barack Obama’s was 51-36 percent, John McCain’s 43-42 percent. All, then, were better off than Clinton, Trump or Bush today. Among other factors –- including increasing partisan and political polarization – this was before the economic collapse of 2008 that pushed public frustration into a deep trough from which it has yet to recover in full.

More Race/Ethnicity

Hispanics divide about evenly on Bush, 43-46 percent, a much less negative rating than Trump’s but still a 15-point increase in unfavorable views since July. That said, Bush’s negative rating is up among whites as well, by 9 points.

Clinton is seen far more positively by Hispanics than are Trump, Bush or even Biden; she’s also highly popular among blacks. But, after a period of missteps chiefly focused on her handling of e-mails as secretary of state, her unfavorable rating is up by 14 points even among blacks. Her main trouble, regardless, rests in the fact that she’s so broadly unpopular among whites.

Party ID

Clinton is particularly strong in her party, seen favorably by 80 percent of Democrats. But her unfavorable rating has increased by 10 points among independents since midsummer, moving from an even split in July to a 20-point net negative score in this group now. Only Bush does worse among independents.

Trump and Bush alike continue to be seen more favorably than unfavorably within their party, by 59-38 and 57-39 percent, respectively. But that’s far behind Clinton’s intramural score, as well as Biden’s (70 percent favorable among Democrats). While negative views of Bush have gained among Republicans and independents, Trump’s held steady within the party, and his +6 in favorability among independents, while not statistically significant, is directionally opposite from Bush.

Other Groups

Among other groups, Bush’s unfavorable rating has increased by 14 points among conservatives since midsummer, he’s at 44-50 percent favorable-unfavorable in this group, while Trump’s held more or less steady at 52-44 percent. The gap is especially wide among strong conservatives -– a 39-57 percent score for Bush, negative by 18 points, vs. 61-37 percent for Trump, positive by 24 points.

Additional trouble for Clinton, meanwhile, is reflected in 11-point increases in her unfavorable rating among women and liberals. And among Trump’s challenges is a decidedly poor rating among young adults; 70 percent of 18- to 29-year-olds see Trump unfavorably, up 12 points since midsummer.

Strength of Sentiment

Strength of sentiment is more negative than positive for all these figures. While 21 percent of Americans see Clinton “strongly” favorably, more, 39 percent see her strongly unfavorably, an 18-point gap. It’s an 11-point gap for Biden (15 percent strongly favorable, 26 percent strongly unfavorable) and 22 points for Bush (just 7 percent strongly favorable, 29 percent strongly unfavorable).

But the gap is biggest for Trump: Sixteen percent of Americans see him strongly favorably while 43 percent see him strongly unfavorably, a 27-point margin for strongly negative sentiment.

See additional data tables here.


This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cell phone Aug. 26-30, 2015, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,005 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by SSRS of Media, Pa. See details on the survey’s methodology here.

……Donald Trump says America’s problems are managerial. The political class is “stupid,” and “horrible negotiators.” He can fix the country’s problems instantaneously with his own entrepreneurial ability and by drafting into government service the likes of multi-billionaire Carl Icahn. Trump claims he said over dinner recently, “Carl, if I get this thing, I want to put you in charge of China and Japan, can you handle both of them? Okay? China and Japan,”

We’re to imagine Icahn telling his Washington secretary, “Get me China on the phone!” As Jeffrey Tucker explains, Trump sees the country as a single company competing against the companies of China and Japan Inc.. Tucker writes,

In effect, he believes that he is running to be the CEO of the country — not just of the government (as Ross Perot once believed) but of the entire country. In this capacity, he believes that he will make deals with other countries that cause the U.S. to come out on top, whatever that could mean. He conjures up visions of himself or one of his associates sitting across the table from some Indian or Chinese leader and making wild demands that they will buy such and such amount of product else “we” won’t buy their product.

Republican voters love it. He’s a breath of fresh, simple, political air. Maybe you’re a smartypants who thinks Trump’s tirades border on moronic. That’s because his answers scored at the 4th-grade reading level during the August 6th debate when the text of his answers was run through the Flesch-Kincaid grade-level test. Most adults wouldn’t pride themselves on speaking at that level, but, a certain financial newsletter operation I know wants their writers to produce Trump-level copy. So, there must be a market Trumpspeak.

“The role Trumpspeak has played in Trump’s surging polls suggests that perhaps too many politicians talk over the public’s head when more should be talking beneath it in the hope of winning elections,” Jack Shafer concludes in his Politico piece.

So if short, blocky words, combined into short, blocky sentences and in turn short, blocky paragraphs works wondrously with the voters, how about the federal bureaucracy The Donald would have to manage? Not that he really wants to manage the leviathan. Donny Deutsch was probably right when he told a Morning Joe audience that Donald is a real estate developer with ADD, always looking to move on to the next deal.

Has he considered that the federal government has two million employees, most of whom he can’t fire? And that’s not the half of it. “Post-1960 Federal America has become a grotesque Leviathan by proxy, in which an expanding mass of state and local government workers, for-profit contractors, and nonprofit grant recipients administers a vast portion of federal money and responsibilities,” writes John J.DiIulio Jr. for the Washington Post.

If Republican voters think a Trump presidency will be four to eight years of “The Apprentice” on steroids, with Trump telling those who disobey or slack off “You’re fired,” they are as delusional as their hero, who, as Nick Gillespie says, has a tenuous grasp on reality.

Can Carson replace Trump as the GOP frontrunner?

Joe Piscopo: Don’t discount Trump

Robert Redford Has This To Say About Trump

Robert Redford may be a longtime Democratic supporter, but the actor said he’s “happy” Donald Trump is running for president.

“I’m glad he’s in there because him being the way he is, and saying what he says the way he says it, I think shakes things up and I think that’s very needed,” Redford said in an interview this week. (RELATED: Dennis Rodman Endorses Donald Trump For President)

“Because on the other side it’s so bland, it’s so boring, it’s so empty.”

Redford said the race was looking more “like ‘Looney Tunes’ and not ‘Merrie Melodies.’” Source: The Daily Caller


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