Profile image
By RedState (Reporter)
Contributor profile | More stories
Story Views

Last Hour:
Last 24 Hours:

George Pataki: Ted Cruz Is Poised To Do Very Well In New York

Friday, April 8, 2016 7:41
% of readers think this story is Fact. Add your two cents.

(Before It's News)

Caricature by DonkeyHotey

Caricature by DonkeyHotey

Full blown panic has hit the Donald Trump campaign. Yesterday there was a low level palace coup within the Trump campaign that saw the vicious, girl-punching elf, Corey Lewandowski, shunted aside in favor of an aging Establishment fixer with strong ties to Vladimir Putin and the Russian mob. But that isn’t the worse news. Donald Trump is on the cusp of having his ass handed to him in New York.

As I’ve posted previously, the state-wide polling in New York is disinformation. First, most delegates are awarded based on Congressional District. So there are actually 28 separate races going on in New York, one at state level and 27 district races. This means that winning a mere handful of votes in The Bronx, where 11,000 can put you over 50%, is actually better than winning 90,000 votes in a large district that gets you 40+% of the vote. Secondly, Trump’s usual base of voters, conservative-ish Democrats and independents, are functionally barred from voting unless they changed their voter registration before October 9.

To make matters worse, Trump needs to pull about 85 delegates out of New York to have a prayer of avoiding a contested convention. That requires him to break 50% in all but six of New York’s congressional districts and win the remainder. The Trump campaign knows that and they know that they aren’t in great shape to make that happen. In the past two days, Trump has cancelled an appearance at the Colorado State GOP convention and he has cancelled campaign stops in California, all to focus on New York.

Now George Pataki is agreeing that while Trump will probably win the overall vote in New York, Ted Cruz is coming on strong and could make Trump’s victory turn into Dead Sea fruit.

That may be, but George Pataki, the three-term New York governor and the last Republican to hold that office, is starting to sound like a Cruz Republican.

“I think Ted Cruz has a real shot of surprising and doing really well,” he says. Pataki, who dropped out of the presidential race earlier this year and later endorsed Marco Rubio, adds that he’s not ready to endorse a new candidate yet but that Cruz, not Kasich, has the “best chance” of defeating Trump for the nomination. He agrees with Astorino that Cruz’s apparent strategy of targeting minority-heavy districts in New York City could help minimize the success Trump will otherwise enjoy in his home state.

If Donald Trump doesn’t win a majority in his home state and doesn’t take away the delegates he needs to get back on track for a first ballot win, then the question becomes one of how Trump leaves the race. Personally, I can’t see him staying around to be beaten in Cleveland.

The post George Pataki: Ted Cruz Is Poised To Do Very Well In New York appeared first on RedState.


Report abuse


Your Comments
Question   Razz  Sad   Evil  Exclaim  Smile  Redface  Biggrin  Surprised  Eek   Confused   Cool  LOL   Mad   Twisted  Rolleyes   Wink  Idea  Arrow  Neutral  Cry   Mr. Green

Top Stories
Recent Stories



Email this story
Email this story

If you really want to ban this commenter, please write down the reason:

If you really want to disable all recommended stories, click on OK button. After that, you will be redirect to your options page.