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A few data points tell the story:
1.) The Gravis poll of Indiana which came out this afternoon which shows Trump winning by 17 points, 44 to 27. This mirrors the NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll which was released yesterday and had Trump up 15 points. The Gravis poll was highly accurate in New York and the Northeastern states.
2.) The SurveyUSA poll of California which came out this afternoon which shows Trump winning there 54 to 20.
3.) The CNN/ORC poll which came out this afternoon which shows Trump at 49 percent nationwide.