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This was the last big one. The end of the primary, for all intents and purposes. A few months ago this was what many of us expected to be the conservative last stand, when Cruz would finally possibly break Trump completely. Or at least send this to a brokered convention. Those hopes died some weeks ago, and yesterday, they were buried, the earth was salted, and the people who dug the grave were blinded and had their tongues removed. It’s that over.
The big news, of course, was the Democrat race, where even was waiting to see if Bernie Sanders would accept the will of the party bosses and the MSM and step aside. Delightfully, he did not. Sanders votes just do not trust Hillary Clinton, and clearly neither does he. It’s their one virtue, but a darn good one.
Nevertheless, Clinton is the presumptive nominee. If super delegates were to go against historic precedent and change their votes to support the guy losing instead of the gal winning, then technically he could still pull an upset. But Bernie, buddy, pal, it ain’t gonna happen.
With all that said, and for the last time …
Here are our projections.
Montana is a proportional primary. As a result, Bernie picked up 6 delegates, while Hillary grabbed 5.
Montana is a winner-take-all primary for Republicans. As a result, Trump adds 27 delegates.
Only a portion of the state’s delegates are assigned based on the vote. We predict the vote to break out 18 to Bernie and 5 to Hillary.
New Mexico is a proportional primary. As a result, Hillary will grab 16 delegates and Bernie will take 15. Hillary also takes a probable additional 7 soft-pledged and ends up with 23 on the day.
Trump adds 19 delegates.
New Jersey is a proportional primary. As a result, Hillary will grab 70 delegates and Bernie will take 47. Hillary also takes a probable additional 12 additional and ends up with 82 on the day.
Trump takes 51 delegates.
CALIFORNIA … UPDATING (6AM)
[As always, please note these are the best projections based on information available at the time of the posting and are subject to change.]
And now for the big moment: the delegate totals.
The Day: RedState estimates the new total delegates to date (for the four delegate leaders) at:
DONALD TRUMP: 1,532
SEN. TED CRUZ: 569
SEN. MARCO RUBIO: 166
GOV. JOHN KASICH: 164
That’s the ball game. Trump is now well over the number of delegates needed, even if some of those Pennsylvania delegates and others credited by the media but who technically can change their mind do, in fact, do that, he’s still got the first ballot win. There are always rules junkies and math nerds who tell you about little things that can change here or there, and maybe that will happen, but as a general point of reality, Donald Trump will be the GOP nominee against Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson.
Sorry, everyone on Earth.
Sources include CNN, AP, The Green Papers, Bing, and campaign data.
The post The End of All Things: Your Final Superest Tuesday Vote Totals and Delegate Count Update appeared first on RedState.