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Dr. Jim Willlie, Peter Schiff, and Bill Holter: Cracks Forming in Bond Markets (Videos)

Wednesday, December 7, 2016 22:16
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(Before It's News)

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After eight years of Obama’s disastrous economic policies, it’s understandable why Americans would want to be hopeful, and why they are consciously choosing to view the recent gains in U.S. equity markets as a harbinger of things to come under a Donald Trump presidency. Unfortunately, there is nothing to suggest the shifting sentiment toward the notion that Donald Trump can somehow fix our economy is warranted. In fact, it’s dangerous. Americans would be wise to heed a recent quote from Michael Snyder:

“Now is not a time to party.  Rather, it is time to batten down the hatches and to prepare for very rough seas ahead. All of the things that so many experts warned were coming may have been delayed slightly, but without a doubt they are still on the way. So get prepared while you still can, because time is running out.”

In the article below, Dr. Willie continues where he left off in an interview that was published roughly two weeks ago in a post titled, Dr. Jim Willie: Worst Bond Crisis in 15 Years, World Quickly Losing Confidence in the US. For your convenience, that interview can also be found at the very end of Dr. Willie’s article. There are a total of three videos contained within this post, each with a slightly different explanation of the same systemic problem for the U.S. economy: The collapse of the U.S. Dollar. In Dr. Willie’s article, he discusses the cracks that are beginning to show in the U.S. bond market, and what that means for the U.S. Dollar moving forward.

DO NOT MISS: The Dollar Collapse Has Begun; U.S. Bank Failures Soon to Follow (Video)

Dr. Willie’s message isn’t all that different than the one Bill Holter gave in an interview several days ago when he warned that every society, even the United States, is only a mere 72 hours away from total anarchy at any given moment. It’s also not that different from the message Peter Schiff gave two weeks ago when he was asked if the U.S. Dollar will collapse IF America defaults on its financial obligations. 

In the first video below, Peter responds to the question about the collapse of the U.S. Dollar by saying, “The U.S. Dollar is going to collapse anyway,” but we might as well default now, because even though our creditors will get less than 100 cents on the Dollar of what we owe, they’ll get a lot more than if we keep printing more money and a Zimbabwe hyper-inflationary atmosphere takes over.

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Until very recently in our country’s history, as the World Reserve Currency, the U.S. has always been able to finance our debt by selling U.S. Treasuries to foreign buyers, however the market for U.S. Treasuries has dried up in recent years, because the whole world knows the U.S. is bankrupt and cannot possibly repay the debt. Any nation that would lend to us would be crazy.

In recent years, the Federal Reserve became the “lender of last resorts” because it kept expanding its balance sheet and buying up the U.S. Treasuries that no one else would, allowing the U.S. to keep fueling the debt… but those days are over. 

DO NOT MISS: The U.S. Will Lose Global Reserve Status, Expect 80-90% Devaluation Of the U.S. Dollar 

At this point, the Fed can’t raise interest rates without bankrupting itself, bankrupting the U.S. government, and tanking the financial and housing markets. On the other hand, it can’t keep buying more debt and expanding its balance sheet without collapsing the dollar. In the article below, Dr. Willie goes into more detail… 

Dr. Jim Willie writes:

Foreign US Treasury Bond dumping continues, and even accelerates. China and the Saudis are selling US Treasuries in a near panic. Foreign central banks liquidated a record $375 billion in US Government debt in the last 12 months. An American disaster lies in the making from debt saturation, debt overload, and debt dumping. It is all denied by the Washington mouthpieces and the Wall Street handlers, as they lie. The US Government debt default is within view, dead ahead.

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One month ago in October tally, the Federal Reserve update of Treasuries held in custody revealed a frightening picture of foreign sales, big sales, even accelerated sales. The total amount of custodial paper had fallen to $2.805 trillion, the lowest since 2012. One month later, foreign central banks continued their relentless liquidation of US debt paper, as measured by the same custody account. Foreign central banks, sovereign wealth funds, reserve managers, and virtually every other official institution in possession of US debt paper, are liquidating their holdings at a frantic pace. They respond to domestic pressures with deficits to finance. They respond to the US fundamental situation, which resembles a Third World nation on a debt basis more so with each passing month. The next fiscal year for the US Government is actually incredibly astonishingly on pace to surpass the $2.0 trillion mark in the deficit. Obama goes out with a bang, with accolades and applause from his fawning fascist fold. His dimwitted dowdy devoted followers even cheer the rising ObamaCare premiums, which they fail to comprehend as rising costs.

DO NOT MISS: Jim Rickards Discusses Looming Shut Down of the Entire US Economy (Video)

See the monthly Treasury Intl Capital (TIC) data for the month of September, the latest reported month. In October the latest 12 months (called LTM) had a massive $343.0 billion in US Treasury sales by foreign central banks. It recorded the period from July 2015 to August 2016. One month later, using the update for the September month, the LTM in US Treasury sales has increased to a shocking level. A robust frightening record setting $374.7 billion in offshore central bank sales was observed. It recorded the period from August 2015 to September 2016. Over one third of a $trillion in US Treasuries sold in the past 12 months, a continuing trend. Yet it is not in the financial news, not given importance, not given emphasis. This is hemorrhage. This is abandonment. This is near panic dumping. This is a glaring red signal! Among the biggest sellers of US Government debt were China and the Saudis.

The great lie is that the bond buyers are from private demand, both foreign and domestic. The great lie is that the Federal Reserve is drawing down its balance sheet with selling to the private institutions. The great lie is that the recovery continues apace. All lies!! Bold lies!! The stark reality instead is that the many central banks are soaking up hundreds of $billions in official debt. The truth is that the US Federal Reserve, the Euro Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are all increasing their UST Bond holdings, soaking up the massive volumes of UST Bonds dumped on the international market. The truth is that the US Department of Treasury is ramping up the derivatives, engineering Interest Rate Swap machinery to create phony demand that soaks up the massive volumes of UST Bonds dumped on the international market. The central banks are stressed, while the machinery is strained. The new Trump Admin will have a major challenge to finance the $1 trillion infrastructure projects. The Federal Reserve might have difficulty in monetizing the costs.

Earlier this week, in an interview, forensic economist Bill Holter explained what really caused the U.S. equity markets to spring back to life after Dow Futures dropped by around 900 points in the immediate aftermath of Donald Trump being declared the winner of the Presidency. Based on what you heard above from Peter, and what Dr. Willie is saying, you can be sure the market’s sharp turnaround wasn’t a coincidence, and it wasn’t a post-election “Trump Bounce” as they media is calling it… 

 

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US TREASURY BOND YIELD ON FAST RISE

In a highly dangerous situation, the 10-year US Treasury Bond yield (TNX) is over 2.3% on a short-term steady basis. Control is being lost with interest rate swap derivatives, while the Federal Reserve balance sheet is taking on losses. A frightening yield target of 3.1% is presented for the TNX, with dire implications of bond market collapse. The Federal Reserve balance sheet is totally wrecked, with impact on shared profits back to the US Department of Treasury and vacant funds for federal mortgage subsidies. Debt default is dead ahead, never mentioned, never considered.

Notice the scary prospect from the technical analysis, as a clear Cup & Handle reversal pattern for the TNX is presented. The top is at 2.3%, the current reading, but with a bob and weave above the breakout resistance level. The bottom impulse was roughly at the 1.5% level. The toxic target upon full reversal would take the TNX to 3.1%, with full wreckage of everything in sight. The elite supposedly sophisticated derivative machinery stands at risk of destruction. Momentum traders (aka the Mo-Mo crowd) notice the moving average crossover marked in the green circle. This marks a highly bullish signal for higher bond yields to come. It signals more gusto in the upward bond yield move, as though it has not already been with plenty of gusto. After some consolidation, lies on normalcy, and deception about return to stability, expect the TNX to resume its rise and gather global attention as the unprecedented abandonment continues.

Look out for the TNX to reach past 3.0% in the few couple months, which would be extremely disruptive and likely force an open crack in the US Treasury Bond complex. To the Jackass, it is inconceivable that continued bond yields upward could occur without open discussion and actual planning of US Government debt default. The restructured debt, or better yet writedowns on the debt, would be coincident with the New Scheiss Dollar devaluation. In other words, that would follow the new dollar down in value. In such a climate, dozens of big Western banks, and possible several Asian banks like in Japan, would go bust, and enter failure. Think bank failure contagion. The big US banks are buying with abandon, the national icon institutions acting like a big animal eating its own legs, expecting to enter a sprint toward survival. The damage to Federal Reserve balance sheet holdings will be astounding. They hold over $4 trillion in, and most were purchased at lower bond yields, thus higher price. They face huge losses, amplified with derivative leverage. All finances for the US Government are in ruins. The Federal Reserve has been talking about moves toward normalcy. Not even remotely possible!

DO NOT MISS: Peter Schiff: Dollar Collapse Will Be the Single Biggest Event In Human History

The Jackass adds that for the Federal Reserve to revert to normal rates, which would reflect the true fundamentals, the bond yield should be at least 8% to 10%, like Greece before the fire trucks arrived with Euro Central Bank markings. Maybe yields would rise to between 12% and 15% if not subject to intervention, as in with a free market. The annual federal deficit was $1.4 trillion in the completed fiscal year. Almost no true buyers exist outside Japan. The annual trade deficit is over $500 billion, another hemorrhage. This is game over, with debt default dead ahead. The introduction of the New Scheiss (domestic only) Dollar should shut the game down. Its devaluation due to the massive trade deficit would cause chaos, disruption, and panic.

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THE JAPANESE FACTOR

EuroRaj added some comments in a fresh unique perspective. So far in the after-glow of the Trump victory, no sign yet has been seen for the Japanese doing any large scale dumping of US Government debt. In order to keep the Japanese interested in continued UST Bond holdings, the cabal has to do two things. They must maintain a rate differential at the 10-year bond for the two countries at 2% or more. They must keep compensating the drop in US Treasury Bond prices with an increase in USD exchange rate versus the Japanese Yen. The Japanese are very important since they hold around $1 trillion in. The Tokyo creditor bunch hold more US Treasuries than the Beijing creditor bunch. Huge strains have been put on the US Department of Treasury for its Exchange Stabilization Fund for to carry out the bond yield movement while engineering a US Dollar continued rise. In fact, more accurately described, the Federal Reserve and their destructive economic fallout have wrecked most other foreign currencies. The US Dollar is not strong, but rather the other FOREX currencies are dying.

Several problems arise because of such twin requirements. 1) The weaker JPY creates competitive advantage for Japan versus the EuroZone. Hence the EUR currency has to keep pace or else their growth suffers. 2) China will continue with its RMB devaluation, which hits US companies. It cannot be labeled a currency manipulator when Japan and Europe do the same in self-defense standard policies. 3) Ford and GM will die and so will a lot of the industrial firms like Caterpillar. 4) A nasty backdrop is presented where consumer demand is in decline, despite all the financing tricks by the automakers and their networks of dealers.

GREATER LEVERAGE & RISK

The leverage requirement has put the Wall Street banks at enormous risk. Big moves in the yield might put the entire US Treasury complex at risk of fractures, following the December monetary policy change a year ago. The human element in derivative room response could be at a breaking point. Any actual Federal Reserve rate hike could send the US Treasuries into a veritable breakdown. Beware of sabotage, with an official rate hike and forced launch of the new Scheiss Dollar (domestic only). Since the fake Fed Rate hike last December 2015, the big US banks have been more leveraged than ever. They are left vulnerable to precisely what we see now. The sudden rise in the 10-year yield from 1.5% handle in July to a 2.3% handle this week has placed tremendous risk on the entire Interest Rate Swap machinery, which maintains control in the bond market.

DO NOT MISS: Bill Holter: Every Society is Only 72 Hours From Pure Anarchy (Video)

The next couple months could possibly break the US Treasury Bond market. An enormous amount of them have been dumped on the market. Such is the direct response by Asian nations in disgust for continuation of the bond and currency fraud, and refusal to enact the Global Currency RESET as agreed upon. The heavy bond volume in sales has put extreme pressure on the IRSwap derivative machinery. It cannot tolerate the unstable outsized movements. The derivative control rooms are staffed by people, and they are dealing with uncharted territory, great volume, and an absence of legitimate buyers. The UST Bills and Fed Funds futures contracts are indicating a rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, over a 95% chance. The Federal Reserve is rumored to be preparing the rate hike with language to indicate it is consistent with their plan, in reflection to the bond market reality, in the face of economic growth, in a return to normalcy. What total rubbish and utter deception! The economic recession is in its eighth consecutive year, and growing worse.

An official Federal Reserve rate hike might cause the bond market to fracture with gaping open cracks evident for even the most compromised bank analysts to perceive. Worse, if a sabotage plan were being readied to sidetrack the Trump Admin, a rate hike would be a perfect one-two punch. The second punch would be a directive by the uber-bankers still in charge to abandon the global reserve status of the US Dollar, which would force the US Government to launch its own domestic-only US Dollar. The Jackass has called this item the New Scheiss Dollar, since it would be devalued quickly and repeatedly. A new US Dollar currency would render the US Treasury Bond as orphan, owned by foreigners. My firm belief is that a debt default restructure event would occur, with the US Federal Reserve at the epicenter of the bankruptcy event. Foreign bond holders of US Government debt would receive 70 cents on the dollar, roughly what the first devaluation would be.

The only alternative is for the US Government to lease 10,000 tons of gold bullion to create a new gold-backed dollar. So far the Washington NeoCon fascists have refused the Chinese gold lease offer, since control would be lost. The likelihood of the US Elite producing their stolen gold to aid the US nation is near zero. They spent much of the gold on space fleets, underground cities, and simple investments like buying nations.

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The derivative obelisk is like the Sears Tower, but made smaller at the base and much taller. It cannot handle the bond movements like strong gusting winds. A big derivative accident lies ahead, within view. Imagine the Sears Tower at 110 stories high with a fixed base. The Federal Reserve action last December rendered the base with smaller footprint (less area) and pushed the height another 40 stories higher. So now the New Sears Tower is over 150 stories high and with a 30% smaller footprint, thus tremendously less stable and more vulnerable. In the last several months the impact of the nasty Canadian Arctic winds from the lower oil price, then the nasty Chinese trade winds with significant bond dumping, have combined to put perhaps fatally dangerous pressures on the Sears Tower. The derivative supports do not care whether the winds are from the west or from the north. Any severe winds can wreck the structural supports for the bond tower. There are limits to the strength of pylons and buttresses, even to steel frames.

BE SURE TO CHECK THELASTGREATSTAND.COM FOR SURVIVAL GEAR!

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FREE DETAILED GUIDE TO SURVIVING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OR MARTIAL LAW HERE

GOLD TRADE NOTE INTRODUCTION

The Gold Trade Notes for trade payment might be coming into view, initially with commodity transfers, later swap contracts, and finally gold-backed short-term notes which supplant the UST Bill. One might think of used newspapers on the floor, or of the dodo bird. The trade might be made in exchange for either goods delivered or held. Detect a growing connection to finished goods being withheld from delivery. This is probably another sign of refusal of as payment. As footnote, be sure to know that the preliminary steps to the Global Currency RESET will not be laid out in full disclosure for public benefit. It represents a tremendous investment opportunity for the elite, which they never tend to share. In fact, the RESET might be well along before it is even recognized. End to EuroRaj main thoughts and open analysis, for which much gratitude is given. The Jackass believes a few critical elements to the RESET are in place. More details on DIP Financing feature is included in the September Hat Trick Letter report.

DO NOT MISS: Understanding the Root Cause of the Coming Global Reset…

***A major hitch obstacle can be inferred. Payment in USD terms might be the clot in the artery. Demands might be for hard asset swaps, and the contract security from large-scale commitment of commodities, facilities, and property. The swap trade is coming into view, a presage of the Gold Trade Note.***

The Jackass concludes the USD rejection could be lifting its head within a gathering storm, without clear identification. It is indeed difficult to identify all the elements when hidden deals at the highest level are underway, and friction is omnipresent. The Bobcat Corp rejection of at Pacific ports is a clear story. For every one story recounted, there are 10 to 20 not yet heard. My firm belief is that in Asian banking systems, they do not want the anymore. The banks in Asia are trying to dump them in heavy volume, not accumulate more worthless toilet paper. Finally the sharp blowback from printing QE money has hit. The Federal Reserve monetary policy saves the big insolvent banks, but kills capital. The result has finally seen manifested in USD global rejection, or at least hints toward the same. Asian banks still hold vast sums of. They are not going to announce the rejection, but instead fight behind the walls for better terms of payment, even as they pursue the Gold Trade Note for payment at ports. It is coming, like daybreak follows the long night.

NEW SCHEISS DOLLAR & GOLD TRADE STANDARD

In time, expect an eventual refusal by Eastern producing nations to accept US Treasury Bills in payment for trade. The IMF reversal decision assures this UST Bill blockade in time, and might accelerate the timetable. The United States Government cannot continue on five glaring fronts of gross negligence and major violations. These violations have prompted the BRICS & Alliance nations to hasten their development of diverse non-USD platforms toward the goal of displacing the US Dollar while at the same time take steps toward the return of the Gold Standard.

DO NOT MISS: Soon the Fireworks Will Start, then Hell on Earth Follows

The New Scheiss Dollar will arrive in order to assure continued import supply to the US Economy. It will be given a 30% devaluation out of the gate, then many more devaluations of similar variety. The New Dollar will fail all foreign and Eastern scrutiny. The US Government will be forced to react to UST Bill rejection at the ports. The US must accommodate with the New Scheiss Dollar in order to assure import supply, and to alleviate the many stalemates to come. The United States finds itself on the slippery slope that leads to the Third World, a Jackass forecast that has been presented since Lehman fell (better described as killed by JPM and GSax). The only apparent alternative is for the United States Government to lease a large amount of gold bullion (like 10,000 tons) from China in order to properly launch a gold-backed currency. Doing so would open the gates for a generation of commercial colonization, but actual progress in returning capitalism to the United States. The cost would be supply shortages to the US Economy, a result of enormous export increases to China.

The colonization has already begun, with secret deals galore. It is very unclear what deals are being struck in order to arrange for the US Government to have a proper gold reserve hoard, for backing a new legitimate US Dollar. Meetings at very high level are in progress, with little if any popular representation, only elite members present. Failure to produce a legitimate bona fide gold-backed currency would mean the United States must proceed with the New Scheiss Dollar, an illegitimate fake phony farce of a currency. It would be subjected to a series of devaluations. The result would be heavy powerful painful price inflation from the import front. The effect would be to reverse a generation of exported inflation by the United States. The entire US Economy would go into a downward spiral with higher prices, supply shortages, and social disorder. However, the rising prices would come from the currency crisis, and not so much from the hyper monetary inflation. That flood of $trillions has been effectively firewalled off.

HAT TRICK LETTER PROFITS IN THE CURRENT CRISIS.

home:  Golden Jackass website              

subscribe:  Hat Trick Letter

Jim Willie CB, editor of the “HAT TRICK LETTER”

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In the following interview from several weeks ago, Dr. Willie discussed the unprecedented dumping of $51 BILLION in U.S. Treasury Bonds by China and Saudi Arabia over only a two week period just prior to the election, and what it means for the U.S. Dollar. What happens any time supply exceeds demand in a market of goods being sold? When there is too much quantity, the value of whatever is being sold goes down, and it’s the same with U.S. Treasuries, which makes the Treasury yields go up, which is exactly what is happening… 

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For those of you who are finally starting to realize there is major trouble on the horizon, largely as a result of the corruption within our own government and the 2016 election, the failure of the U.S. Dollar and Western banks, deteriorating conditions here domestically, or perhaps even because of nuclear tensions reaching all new heights, then I suggest you get your FREE GUIDE for how to survive Martial Law here, because if/when things begin to go south, by then it will be too late to do anything about it. 

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For anyone with no idea where to begin making preparations, a very good, and very inexpensive tool to teach you how and what you should be preparing, is a book called “Conquering the Collapse.” Since I’ve practically worn out my own iPad reading my copy, in the following link I provide you with a review of the book: Be Ready For Any Emergency – The Crucial Guide For Any Family’s Safety (Videos)

If you do nothing else, you can learn more about the coming crisis in the links at the bottom under the heading titled, “If nothing else, these links are essential.” The writing is on the wall everywhere… I strongly suggest checking out the post titled, Start “Doubling Up On Your Prepping;” Countdown to Economic Collapse.

BE SURE TO CHECK THELASTGREATSTAND.COM FOR SURVIVAL GEAR!

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FREE DETAILED GUIDE TO SURVIVING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OR MARTIAL LAW HERE

IF YOU READ NOTHING ELSE, THE FOLLOWING POSTS ARE ESSENTIAL:

Bill Holter: Every Society Is Only 72 Hours From Pure Anarchy (Video)

Peter Schiff: “Default or Not, U.S. Dollar Is Going to Collapse Either Way” (Video)

Jim Rickards Discusses Looming Shut Down of the Entire US Economy (Video)

Dr. Jim Willie: Worst Bond Crisis in 15 Years, World Quickly Losing Confidence in US 

Bill Holter: Between Now and Election Will Be Extremely Dangerous (Video)

Dr. Jim Willie: We Are on the Brink of World War; Americans Totally Clueless - Pt. 1

Dr. Jim Willie: We Are on the Brink of World War; Americans Totally Clueless - Pt. 2

Bill Holter: Newly Solidified Chinese Superpower Will Replace Dead U.S. Dollar (Interview)

Peter Schiff: Don’t Believe the Hype! The Real Economic Fallout From Brexit (Video)

How Will the U.S. Conduct Trade With Worthless U.S. Dollars and No Gold? (Video)

Why Did Illuminated George Soros Liquidate 37% of His Stock to Buy Gold? (Video)

FOR MORE LINKS ON MARTIAL LAW:

Reports of Active U.S. Military Drilling for “Authoritarian Rule of Law” (Martial Law)

U.N. Soldier Says They Will Soon Occupy America: “Going Door-to-Door Taking Guns…” 

1,500 Pages of New Documents That Reveal U.S. Government’s Martial Law Agenda (Video) 

Mainstream Media Blasts Alternative News Personality on FEMA Camps (Videos)

Ron Paul: Undeniable Proof Martial Law Is Coming Because of the Economy (Video)

Virginia Police and Homeland Security Doing Exercises for Marital Law Conditions (Video)

Latest News on Government’s Preparing For Civil War or Martial Law (Videos)

Martial Law Convoys Sent to Baton Rouge, Dallas, and St. Paul Before Shootings (Videos)

Pentagon Approves U.N. Use Of Force Against American Civilians (Video)

What Is the U.S. Government Endlessly Preparing For (Videos)

Patriot Films Shocking New Video of a FEMA Camp Recently Discovered in Texas

Major Update to Military Movement and Actual Documentation of Their Plans (Video)

United Nations Troops on U.S. Soil Prepared to Assist With Martial Law? (Videos)

Obama Has Prepared FEMA for All Four Storms… Are You Prepared?

13 States Obama Is Using for His Nefarious Secret Agenda (Video)

Obama: Be Ready For EMP Attacks, Engineered Pandemics, Earthquakes, and Martial Law

How Likely is Martial Law in the US, and What Happens Under Martial Law 

Law Enforcement Preparing For Rioting on National Scale (Videos)

All Armed Americans To Be Detained In FEMA Camps Starting In 2017? (Video)

Beware of Martial Law: Obama Will Confiscate Firearms Of All 50 States in 2016

Army Not Prepping for Battle; Training For Riot Control and Martial Law

Pentagon Says Preparing For Huge Civil Unrest in U.S. (Videos)

Political Dissidents Homes Being Marked By FEMA Prior to Martial Law?

Government “Threat List:” 8 Million People To Be Detained Immediately

 

THE VOICE OF REASON:
   
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  • THE ONLY reason the markets are doing so well is low interest rates. People couldn’t keep up with inflation with savings and CD’s at 1% interest or less, so they went to the markets. The Big players like Soros, and Buffet started taking money out of the markets months ago.

    YES, ALL the markets are artificially high. And what goes up must come down, especially when it’s built on nothing.

  • Voice of Reason you remind me of Lavender Rose with all the Images, links and nonsense, then in you’re Con profile

    1. What ever happened to “common sense”?

    2. When did the American population become so stupid they’d listen whatever they hear on TV from their favorite politician without an ounce of “due diligence” to confirm what was said?

    Underneath all my commentary and the “showmanship” what’s that mean?

  • the global economy has already collapsed,, it’s lying on the floor with no pulse & not breathing,, though it is still warm n easy to move around (read manipulate) and it still looks alive & shows color in the face of things

    central banks around the world are printing trillions of dollars in an attempt to perform CPR on the unconscious global economy

    they even have the now brain-dead global economy on life support,,,, while everyone stands around hoping it won’t pass away

    it’s already dead,,, time to move along and get on with whatever’s neckst

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