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There is a Less Wrong article about AI timeline predictions. I think far better sensors, cameras and motion detection will drive AI capabilities and bring robots effectively into the wild and out of the labs. Sensors and smart tattoo tagging will make the task of figuring out the environment easy for robots and less of a sodoku puzzle for the blind problem that robots currently have using inferior cameras and not having objects tagged and able to be wireless queried.
Here is my timeline of the next few years in AI, robotics and sensors everywhere.
By 2018
* Terascale neuromorphic chips (memristors synapes, nanostore memory (logic and memory together)
* Many billions and probably trillions of electronic tattoos (less than a penny each in most cases) with processing, sensors, memory, wireless
* 2000 qubit adiabatic quantum computers
* 50 gigapixel cameras for a few thousand dollars, a gigapixel for a few hundred
motion detection at ten micron precision (next generation the size of a quarter or so, added to smartphones and tablets) and slightly more expensive versions with the super high resolution cameras to cover large volumes.
* Very capable robotics and car automation. Robotics still at the co-operation and assistance level for people. Some simple tasks can be fully automated.
By 2025
* The human brain project (if funded would be done and if not there are other DARPA and asian projects of comparable scale)
* Memristors at exascale (supercomputer class), petascale for very affordable systems
* Sensors even more capable
* Electronic tattoos even cheaper and more capable.
* Deep robotics commercialization adoption.
* Beamed power and persistent UAVs
* Megascale or gigascale adiabatic quantum computers
See more and subscribe to NextBigFuture at 2012-08-15 15:49:39 Source: http://nextbigfuture.com/2012/08/ai-robotics-and-sensors-everywhere.html
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