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National Intelligence Council Predicts there will be no superpower nations by 2030

Monday, December 10, 2012 16:41

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From NextBigFuture.com

USA Today – A report by the National Intelligence Council predicts that the United States will lose its superpower status by 2030, but that no country — including China — will be a hegemonic power.

Instead, the report says, power will shift to “networks and coalitions in a multipolar world.”

This development, the report finds, will largely reverse the historic rise of the West since 1750, “restoring Asia's weight in the global economy and ushering in a new era of 'democratization' at the international and domestic level.”

The report further expects the rapid aging of the world population to continue as well as a growing demand on resources, which might lead to scarcities of food and water.

A snapshot of the Global Trends 2030 report

The key “looming” challenges that our reviewers cited for GT 2030 were to develop:

A better grasp of time and speed. Past Global Trends works, “correctly foresaw the direction of the vectors: China up, Russia down. But China’s power has consistently increased faster than expected . . . A comprehensive reading of the four reports leaves a strong impression that [we] tend toward underestimation of the rates of change . . . ”