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Is the U.S. economy steamrolling toward another recession? Will 2014 turn out
to be a major “turning point” when we look back on it? Before we get to the
evidence, it is important to note that there are many economists that believe
that the United States never actually got out of the last recession. For
example, data compiled by John Williams of shadowstats.com show that the
U.S. economy has continually been in recession since 2005. So if anyone out
there would like to argue that America is experiencing a recession right now, I
certainly would not have a problem with that.
In fact, that would fit
with the daily reality of tens of millions of Americans that are
deeply suffering in this harsh economic environment. But no matter whether we
are in a “recession” at the moment or not, there are an increasing number of
indications that we are rapidly plunging into another major economic slowdown.
The following are the top 12 signs that the U.S. economy is heading toward
another recession…
#1 We recently learned that
the number of new mortgage applications in the United States had fallen to the
lowest level that we have seen in nearly 20
years.
#2 Radio Shack has announced that it is going to close
more than 1,000 stores. This is just another sign that we are
in the midst of a “retail apocalypse”.
#3 The ISM Services index just fell to its lowest level in 4 years, and ISM Services Employment just experienced its largest decline since the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
#4 Obamacare is really starting to hammer the U.S. health care industry…
“The Affordable Care Act is creating significant financial uncertainty to health care organizations,” said a survey respondent from the health care and social assistance industry.
“With little warning, the negative impact on revenue has been unprecedented.”
#5 Trading revenue at the “too big to fail” banks on Wall Street is way down…
Citigroup Inc. (C) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) are bracing investors for a fourth straight drop in first-quarter trading, a period of the year when the largest investment banks typically earn the most from that business.
Citigroup finance chief John Gerspach said yesterday his firm expects trading revenue to drop by a “high mid-teens” percentage, less than a week after JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said revenue from equities and fixed income was down about 15 percent. If trading at the nine largest firms slumps that much, it would extend the slide from 2010’s first quarter to 36 percent.