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One has to wonder how long the Democrat establishment will continue to support Hillary in light of her seriously deteriorating approval ratings. This month they’ve stumbled yet again. On the other hand, Trump and quasi socialist Democrat Bernie Sanders continue to see large growth among their separate voter base.
The latest bad news for Hillary finds that her numbers are particularly bad in three key “battleground” states that are of vital importance toward actually securing the presidency.
The latest poll data comes from the YouGov/CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker that shows that Sanders,Trump and Dr. Ben Carson are surging in the polls while establishment heroes like Clinton and Jeb Bush are in serious trouble.
The worst news is for Hillary as Sen. Sanders (I-VT) leads her with 43 percent in Iowa, while Clinton lags 10 points behind at 33 percent. On speculation, Vice President Joe Biden come in third at ten percent even though the VP has yet to announce another run for the White House.
This leaves the other several Democrat candidates–who unlike Biden have announced–trailing far, far behind. Candidates such as former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley, who is languishing under 10 percent, along with former Virginia Senator Jim Webb (with about 4 percent) and former Rhode Island Governor Lincoln Chafee (less than a percent). These three can’t seem to make any dent at all in the polls.
With some small differences, the polls in South Carolina and New Hampshire found similar results for the Democrats.
As to the Republicans, it seems that Trump is running away with it at between 30 and 40 percent in the three states with Dr. Carson in second place only single digits away from Trump. Sen. Ted Cruz (R, TX) is generally seen as the third place candidate (except in more liberal NH) not just in these three states but nationally.
Surprisingly, despite being the run away favorite of the GOP establishment, Jeb Bush is in worse shape than Hilary. Bush is barely getting six percent in any of these battleground polls.
Clearly, though the trend we are seeing right now among those answering these polls–and not just in the battleground states but across the country–is that voters are supporting candidates who are either non-politicians (such as Trump, Carson, and Fiorina) or are those outside of the usual political milieu (such as Cruz and Sanders).
Here is how the three states stand on the top vote getters of the GOP field:
Iowa
Trump (29 percent)
Carson (25 percent)
Cruz (10 percent)
Rubio (6 percent)
Fiorina (4 percent)
New Hampshire
Trump (40 percent)
Carson (12 percent)
Kasich (9 percent)
Fiorina (8 percent)
Bush (6 percent)
South Carolina
Trump (36 percent)
Carson (21 percent)
Cruz (6 percent)
Bush (5 percent)
Graham (5 percent)