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Revolutionary victory for evidence based reasoning over intuition and belief.
David Smith – How Nate Silver won the election with Data Science:
While I’m pleased with the outcome of yesterday’s election in political terms, I’m equally thrilled about the victory for Data Science versus “gut instinct”, “philosophy” and “fundamentals”. This was nowhere better exemplefied than on Fox News last night, were Republican strategist (and the tactitian behind most of the SuperPAC ads) Karl Rove refused to believe the incoming returns, and broke out into argument with Fox’s own election analysts when they called the election for Obama. Even before the voting began, he was sure the Republicans had it in the bag. He was wrong.
The battle between statistician Nate Silver and the pundits — especially on the right — was stark. Pundits in the media have a built-in motivation to portray the race as a close one — nothing drives pageviews like a horserace — but their rejection him forecasting a high probability of an Obama win as nothing more than a glorified spreadsheet-jockey was a classic case of tradition versus data science. The pundit class, once valued for their instinct, insider knowledge and “expert” analysis, was clearly threatened by this successful use of data and facts. ..@ How Nate Silver won the election with Data Science:
2012-11-13 22:20:47
Source: http://gmopundit.blogspot.com/2012/11/revolutionary-victory-for-evidence.html
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