Killing the shortage narrative with hard data
After years of frustration with Blogger “touching up” my html code to the point of being unrecognizable, I need a new publishing platform. I’m inclined to believe that WikiMedia is the proper venue, but my income is so spotty, a privately hosted Wiki (invited editors only) is not going to happen without some angel funding ($200 first year — 20 people at $10 ea?)
https://www.paypal.me/StevenKritzer
Here’s some example content we will start with the IT occupations and branch out to STEM.
I believe that the data we need to publish is the annual occupational growth data from BLS-OES compared with the relevant degrees conferred from NFS/NCES ranked colleges. Yes, that raw data is out there, but the supply vs. demand data is not conveniently displayed to display losses or under performance.
| Code | Title | Growth Since 2012 |
Edu Req
|
| 15-1131 | Computer Programmers | -9,123 |
Bachelors
|
| 15-1132 | Software Developers, Applications | 53,797 |
Bachelors
|
| 15-1133 | Software Developers, Systems Software | -317 |
Bachelors
|
| 15-1134 | Web Developers | 8,043 |
Assoc. – some college
|
| 15-1141 | Database Administrators | 2,180 |
Bachelors
|
| 15-1142 | Network and Computer Systems Administrators | 24,160 |
NA
|
| 15-1143 | Computer Network Architects | 8,710 |
Bachelors
|
| 15-1151 | Computer User Support Specialists | 59,430 |
HS / Cert
|
For the poor kids taking Computer Science in college, there are Systems Developers and Programmers training for the wrong occupation (red), Application Developer are hot right now.
Not requiring a degree at all, Computer User Support Specialists should not be open to H-1B, but MyVisaJobs reports HCL applied for over 500 of them.
Here’s are the relevant degrees conferred (bachelors and above) for Software Developers, Systems Software in 2015, who graduated into a declining (-317) occupation. Yet, thousands of H-1B applied in 2016.
(BTW: Bill Gates (etc) still claims the shortage is because of few Computer Science degrees, there are about three dozen other curriculum offerings for IT now.)
| 11.0102 Artificial Intelligence | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | 12 |
| Master’s Degrees | 65 | |
| 11.0103 Information Technology | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | 36 |
| Master’s Degrees | 1,953 | |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 7,264 | |
| 11.0104 Informatics | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | 11 |
| Master’s Degrees | 227 | |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 707 | |
| 11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | 3 |
| Master’s Degrees | 43 | |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 1,242 | |
| 11.0202 Computer Programming Special Applications | Master’s Degrees | 25 |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 371 | |
| 11.0401 Information Science/Studies | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | 129 |
| Master’s Degrees | 3,184 | |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 6,068 | |
| 11.0701 Computer Science | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | 361 |
| Doctorate Degree-Other | 48 | |
| Master’s Degrees | 2,713 | |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 14,501 | |
| 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | 104 |
| Master’s Degrees | 682 | |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 5,207 | |
| 14.0903 Computer Software Engineering | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | 5 |
| Master’s Degrees | 559 | |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 671 | |
| 15.1204 Computer Software Technology/Technician | Doctorate Degree-Research/Scholarship | |
| Bachelor’s Degrees | 37 | |
| Subtotal | Subtotal | 46,228 |
Source: http://immigration-weaver.blogspot.com/2017/03/killing-shortage-narrative-with-hard.html
