Profile image
By RedState (Reporter)
Contributor profile | More stories
Story Views

Last Hour:
Last 24 Hours:

Polling update: Donald Trump choking away Wisconsin, on the edge in New York

Monday, April 4, 2016 11:09
% of readers think this story is Fact. Add your two cents.

(Before It's News)

Donald Trump

Donald Trump has led by as much as 10 points in Wisconsin polling and is approaching the critical 50% threshold in New York, but both states could end up terrible disappointments for the Branch Trumpidians.

Marquette had Trump rocket from a 3 point deficit to a 10 point lead from Thanksgiving to the end of February. It was looking good for him. But with today’s new poll from Emerson College putting the race at Ted Cruz +5, that makes six straight polls and eight out of nine that Trump has lost.

Unless Cruz really underperforms, or Trump overperforms (and this primary cycle has generally seen the opposite in both respects), Trump will have proved himself in Wisconsin to be a big chocker!

And then there’s New York. What’s not to like for Trump about New York, you might ask? Well, Trump has to hit 50% in each congressional district in order to sweep the delegates in each district. It’s that rule, that had most observers penciling in a sweep of the state for the man famous for inheriting his father’s real estate empire in the state.

But it’s not really a sure thing that Trump is going to succeed in doing that statewide. He’s ranged from 50 to 56 in the last four polls, taken over the last 10 days. As long as one of Kasich or Cruz hits 20, every district where Trump fails to hit 50, costs him a third of the delegates in that district. A bad night could quickly mute Trump’s coming home state win.

Just how bad of a chocker is Trump? We’ll find out.

The post Polling update: Donald Trump choking away Wisconsin, on the edge in New York appeared first on RedState.


Report abuse


Your Comments
Question   Razz  Sad   Evil  Exclaim  Smile  Redface  Biggrin  Surprised  Eek   Confused   Cool  LOL   Mad   Twisted  Rolleyes   Wink  Idea  Arrow  Neutral  Cry   Mr. Green

Top Stories
Recent Stories



Email this story
Email this story

If you really want to ban this commenter, please write down the reason:

If you really want to disable all recommended stories, click on OK button. After that, you will be redirect to your options page.