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Within 20 years, more than half of the world’s population rises out of poverty—while the median age in developed countries jumps by five years. The U.S. heads toward energy independence and natural gas prices plummet as advances in technology drive a boom in extraction. Climate scientists studying the rise in sea levels revise their forecasts upward. Technological innovations, such as low-cost 3-D printing, fuel a resurgence in U.S. manufacturing. The U.S. Federal Reserve extends a monetary easing policy that could boost the economy but also risk inflation, as central bankers around the world move markets with unprecedented power.
Economists, researchers, strategists and investment experts throughout Bank of America Merrill Lynch and U.S. Trust have identified three major themes underlying what they believe to be today’s global transformations. First, amid rapid strides toward energy self-sufficiency, we’re seeing a surge in U.S. business and technological innovation that has the potential to revitalize the economy and spark another long-lived bull market. Second, far-reaching shifts in the financial markets are presenting investors with unprecedented opportunities—as well as unanticipated risks. At the same time, a massive rebalancing of the world’s economic, political and social power is under way. The rapid rise of a powerful middle class, alongside a global need for essential resources that’s set to explode in coming decades, is intensifying the need for a new approach to investing.
“The rebalancing of global growth from the developed to the developing world is a trend we’ve been discussing for some time,” says Chris Hyzy, chief investment officer at U.s. trust. “Demographic changes—some that benefit the world economically, some that increase risk—are creating imbalances that are changing the nature of global growth.