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AN ANALYSIS OF THE COMING CIVIL WAR: WHO WILL WIN AND WHY?

Thursday, April 2, 2015 6:09
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(Before It's News)

 

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civil war coming

Jade Helm 15 (JH 15) has awakened the American consciousness like few other events in recent history. I have been getting calls from Louisiana, to Utah, to Texas, to California, to New York, and from Colorado mainstream radio stations (e.g. FOX) who wanted to interview me about the martial law and extraction of dissidents operations associated with JH 15. Most of the mainstream talk show hosts are in shock over what they are discovering. Some of the hosts and their listeners want to know if I thought this turn of events is going to deteriorate into a civil war.

My answer to the civil war question has always been “I do not know” and I am certainly not advocating for it. However, with this much attention being paid to the possibility, I decided to conduct my own research into the possibility in which I sought to answer three questions:

1. Will America attempt to defeat the banker-led occupation forces which have hijacked our government?

2. What kind of civil war would it be?

3. What are the “people’s” chances of winning a civil war?

Here are the results of my investigation.

Four Types of Conflict

How can one be certain that the coming conflict will be a guerrilla war? A quick analysis of the options will quickly reveal which direction a civil war would follow.

Military strategists identify four levels of conflict; (1) nuclear war is the trump card of all conflicts; 2) conventional warfare; (3) guerrilla warfare; and, (4) terrorism.

Terrorism is the least preferred option by any insurgent group. With terrorism, there is absolutely no hope of final victory because territory is never occupied. For that reason, nobody aspires to engage in terrorism if they have a viable alternative and the American people do have a choice given how well armed we are. In a case in point, please note how the terrorist group, ISIS, has attempted to go mainstream by fighting conventional military battles in Iraq. Terrorism is the least preferred option and it also runs contrary to traditional American psychology.

dhs-targetsMany have suggested, including some former high ranking military types have hinted at the fact that there has been discussion of a military coup. In the absence of such an event, guerrilla war would be the next viable option.

While some of the 260+ command level officers fired by Obama are privately informing many of us in the media about the current state of affairs with regard to an armed resistance to the take over of America, the details are sketchy. For obvious reasons, they are not on the record.  Other than self-preservation, the major reason why these former military commanders are not on the record is because some of them might be involved in planning a guerrilla war against the occupation forces commanded by this administration under the auspices of DHS.

One of my sources states that the coming civil war will be a guerrilla war and it will be prolonged. Another former General has told me that the American people do not have the stomach for guerrilla war and that the majority of our people will lay down like sheep and be slaughtered. What do you think? Can Americans Win a Guerrilla War Against the Banker Occupation Forces?

Why the Coming Civil War Must Be a Guerrilla War

We have approximately total of 1,4 million active personnel in the US military. The United States has over 200,000 troops stationed in 144 countries. These 200,000 men and women will not likely be a factor in the coming conflict and will prove to be in grave danger in the coming conflict.

I constantly have former military write to my website and proclaim their allegiance to the Constitution and pledge to destroy all enemies both foreign and domestic. I do not doubt their resolve or courage, however, there are not 30 million combat ready veterans, with the technological means and military organizational skills who would be ready to fight as they frequently claim. There are only 1.8 million veterans who are under the age of 35, which would be the prime fighting age for any resistance force. This means that in the best case scenario, that any resistance that the occupation forces could muster would consist of about 2.5 million men who have combat training in both our active duty personnel and our veterans. The mere size of the army that the Chinese could muster, in addition to the DHS, and the Russians, would dwarf any force that the American people could place on the battlefield.

The only choice that this country would have to resist the coming occupation and genocidal purge would be to make the war a guerrilla war.

The Sides Are Drawn

The coming civil war will consist of the present administration, the DHS, the bulk of the domestic U.S. military, the Chinese, and the Russians, all under the UN flag, versus small part of the American military and about 10% of the American people. On the surface, this is not a fair fight!

Could a guerrilla war succeed? Is America equipped to fight a guerrilla war?

Can a Guerrilla War Succeed?

Guerrilla warfare, for most of human history, is not new. Tribal war, which traditionally pits one guerrilla force against another, is the oldest form of warfare. The new “conventional” form of warfare, which pits guerrillas against “conventional” forces, is more recent as it arose in Mesopotamia 5,000 years ago.

The good news for future American freedom fighters is that guerrilla war has been getting more successful since 1945, but unfortunately guerrilla fighters still lose most of the time. An analysis of past conflicts featuring guerrilla war, reveals that only 25% of guerrilla forces, out of 443 such conflicts since 1775, were successful. The government prevailed almost 64% of the time with the remainder of the conflicts ended in a stalemate. Conversely, since the end of WWII, the percentage of success for guerrilla forces has indeed gone up to 39.6%. Yet that still means that government forces have continued to prevail 51% of the time.

 

When the American people engage in a guerrilla war in the upcoming years, the American people have less than a 40% chance of success.

Guerrilla wars are rarely short and as a result do not favor the American culture and psychological makeup because of our collective psyche of instant gratification. When Americans flip the switch on the wall, we expect the light to come on. Will Americans set aside their entitlements as well as their entrenched soft lifestyle and rise to the occasion? The answer to that question, is that it does not matter. America is in the early stages of a civil war, whether it realizes it or not.

Vo Nugyen Giap

Vo Nugyen Giap

 

General Giap the architect of the successful Viet Cong resistance strategy once stated that, “The war of liberation of the Vietnamese people proves that, in the face of an enemy as powerful as he is cruel, victory is possible only by uniting the whole people within the bosom of a firm and wide national united front based on the worker-peasant alliance.”(The Military Art of People’s War, p. 97-98). How does one achieve such an alliance?

“Using fear is the key to motivating the people to fight”.                            

General Giap

 

Giap tells us that fear of the oppressor is a strong ally.  Those that are awake need to convey the threat against us by emphasizing the fear. The globalists are already trying to head this off, why do you think they invented the phrase “fear monger” in order to discredit those who are attempting to sound the alarm before it is too late.

fema box carsTell your neighbors about DHS and their 2.2 billion rounds of ammunition and their 2700 armored personnel carriers. Ask your neighbor who is DHS preparing to fight? Speak to neighbors about the Civilian Inmate Labor Program. Let people know they can be snatched off the street without due process under the NDAA. Print out a copy of Executive Order 13603 and read it to them. Talk to your friends about the detention camps and the Wackenhut buses that will take you there along with the trains containing shackles. Ask your neighbors how we can pay off $238 trillion dollars in unfunded mandates or bail-out the bankers one quadrillion derivatives debt?  Make your friends see that a currency collapse is imminent. Becoming a fact-based fear monger is the surest way to begin to tip the numbers in your favor.

Conclusion

We now know that the American people have a 40% of winning a civil war. What has to happen in order for these odds to increase? The answer to this question will be covered in the next article and the answers to this question will surprise you!

Yesterday, Steve Quayle told Alex Jones’ audience that Jade Helm 15 is going live and the executions associated the carrying out of the sentences of the Red List will be going live along with Jade Helm 15. You might want to get started today as time is becoming very short.

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Total 12 comments
  • My take, anyone who is an employee of the corporate gv will be out of the game in a few days. Pay check not worth getting shot in the next few days.

    Once people start shooting back, these dhs guys and all the rest will simply quit. Bullies run in packs and will cower once the shtf.

    If you knew their were millions of snipers who were gunning for you, would you stay on a thug job going after the good people just to play tough guy? It won’t be fun for them anymore and they will be scared to death to put on a uniform and go to work.

    One guy I talked to about this told me he and his buddies will loose there uniforms so fast. They are simply in for the big pay and nothing more. Many of them hate what is going on too and will switch sides day one.

    • :idea: :arrow: Exactly true. This is a story I found on what all citizens must do the instant Martial Law starts. Everyones frontline enemies are each of the local police and this is the only real world working plan that I ever read on this. Everyone only gives stories, but this is tells you exactly what to do in your city to disarm and kick the government out from our cities: :roll: :wink:

      /u-s-politics/2015/03/white-house-offices-delete-foia-regulations-no-more-foia-replies-2480510.html

    • You make a valid point. Most who seek out positions of authority and power such as those in law enforcement, prison guards, DHS, and the like are indeed bullies and have psychopathic traits. They know they can hurt and inflict pain on people at large and get away with 99% of the time under the guise of a badge. I have no compassion for those types and Beforeitsnews would print my reply if I truly stated what should be done with those types.

      • Way to go on stereotyping thousands and thousands of people. Most of which are NOTHING like you describe.

  • American Agenda ~ An Idea Man Grace

  • Our military won’t be fighting 10,000 miles away in Iraq or Afghanistan where a knock and talk is easy to accomplish with an interpreter, you’ll be here in your hometowns and cities. Americans will know who you are are, where you live, and who your family members are. It won’t go well for US military to arrest, detain, incarcerate, or kill American citizens and their family members and then think they can just go home after their service as though nothing happened.

    You’ll reap what you sow.

  • One more US war and we will attack all nine hundred US bases simultaneously and guess what stretched so thin you yanks will loose big time! Then we start a major cull of the General US population!

    • Logistically, you will never attack all 900 US bases simultaneously. hahahaahh
      Remember “operation american spring” last year? They had a goal of 10 million protesters and they got what….2 maybe 3 thousand tops? Good luck with that.

  • Ah, this General underestimates the civilians, he obviously doesn’t understand just how pissed we are! Another thing to consider is that the great awakening has been happening for awhile now and more and more people wake up every day and arm themselves, I know hardcore liberals that are waking up and arming themselves and buying survival supplies, so I don’t think this civil war will go the way they think it will. The way I see it is if it’s a long drawn out war these troops that go up against us will finally look around and see the destruction they have done to their country and walk away if they can! They don’t understand that the will to survive is strong and in everyone of us and is embedded in our DNA. Good luck with your takeover.

  • Just my 2 cents worth: If only 20% of active duty military will turn against all enemies foreign and DOMESTIC which includes active military who WILL fire on US CIVILAINS that means that…2 helo mechanics will bring down 2 out of every 10 helos sent to fire upon US civilians. 2 out of 10 tanks commanders will fall behind the rest of the convoy and will have an advantage of firing from the rear…that’s a hell of an advantage…4 men out of every platoon sent to destroy americans will fall to the rear and in seconds destroy ten men in front. 2 out of every aircraft sent into combat will fire upon their own trying to save their hometown from whatever they are dropping. It goes on and on…those who survive will not trust anyone to work on their helos or will want to be ahead of anyone else…and if no one wants to go first because they don’t trust the guy behind them…well…there goes your theory…
    Believe me there are at least 20% of US combat troops that will stay and cause a hell of a
    lot of losses from within,…that why we have foreign troops…they have nothing to lose, but in the end they wont be going home.
    As the story goes…between the Russian troops who sent this message, Americans are to soft to win, to many toys, and to much free time…answer COME AND TRY TO TAKE THE TOYS AWAY and see how soft we are…

    No sir, you assume to much, and I suspect, that your nothing more than DISINFORMATION with a twist trying to instill fear where their none…We may lose, but I have never lost a fight just because someone said I would.

    Natus sum liberum moriar liberum vos can have mea tela quando infernum glaciatur super

  • Shorter analysis than this article, and more to the point:

    Armed removal of the criminals in Washington has a chance to succeed.
    Inaction has a 100% chance of failure.

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