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Here we are in late September and El Nino is playing a “look at me again game” as a piece of the Kelvin Wave from earlier this summer makes a run for warmer Pacific El Nino based waters. Back in June and July ocean-atmosphere processes have consumed most of the warm water in the eastern equatorial Pacific from downwelling. The North Pacific is warming fast and we are seeing Tuna and yellowfish the furthest north they have ever been, Check out this update. We now see a 72% chance of El Nino this so the bigger question, what type of El Nino will be…weak, moderate or Modoki El Nino.