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This Bizarre Rule In The GOP Primaries Could Doom Some MAJOR Frontrunners
As Republican presidential candidates crisscross the nation to win key GOP strongholds, an analysis of the party’s own delegate rules reveals that Blue State Republicans have vast power to pick the party nominee.
That’s good news for pragmatic, moderate Republicans such as a Jeb Bush, but not for conservative or religious candidates, such as Ben Carson. It also means that the eventual nominee could be very different from the leader in national polls because a candidate getting a few votes in the right (moderate) places can get as many if not more delegates than a candidate getting more votes in a conservative area.
Thirty-four percent of delegates are awarded at the congressional district level, and each district gets three delegates.
An analysis by FiveThirtyEight noted that “a GOP primary vote cast in the bluest part of the Bronx could be worth 43 times more than a vote cast in the reddest part of Alabama.”
“Thanks to this disparity, if a hard-right candidate like Cruz dominates deeply red Southern districts in the SEC primary, a more electable candidate like Rubio could quickly erase that deficit by quietly piling up smaller raw-vote wins in more liberal urban and coastal districts,” wrote FiveThirtyEight.
Not all Republicans are the same. In Blue State districts such as New York or Massachusetts, the redness of the Republicans who live in those districts is often a pale pink compared with the Red States of the south and west.
“Blue-state Republicans are less religious, more moderate and less rural than their red-state counterparts,” wrote New York Times’ Nate Cohn.
Cohn analyzed the results of the 2008 and 2012 elections, and wrote that the advantage among moderates enjoyed by Mitt Romney and Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., made it “all but impossible for their more conservative challengers to win the nomination.”
Cohn noted that the power of Blue State Republicans in the presidential nominating process is in contrast to their normal status. They are “all but extinct in Washington, since their candidates lose general elections to Democrats,” Cohn wrote.
h/t: FiveThirtyEight
Source: http://www.westernjournalism.com/this-bizarre-rule-in-the-gop-primaries-could-doom-some-major-frontrunners/
If any delegates from anywhere pick Jeb Bush then they were paid BIG money under the table. We know how the game is played. No body wants him. His numbers are superficial.
TRUMP….CRUZ…2016