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A small-scale tornado outbreak has been projected by models here at NationalWeatherForce.com, bringing in what could be a high enough risk for an official Tornado Watch product from our team through Tennessee and Kentucky. Read on for details as this stretches southward as well.
Today’s storms were just appetizers across Kentucky and Tennessee because a surface low will be moving through the area on Friday afternoon through evening. This surface low will be the focal point for strong convergence along a surface front extending from the Ohio River southwestward through Texas, impacting Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Kentucky.
The center of the bulls-eye for this small-scale outbreak will be right down West-Central Kentucky and Tennessee, with multiple supercells forming along the initial line that will be capable of tornadoes, some of them strong with EF1-2 type being projected.
The shading of orange on our map through the rest of KY/TN/AL/MS/LA is for spin-ups, similar to what we saw today in Kansas and Missouri. We did not issue a tornado watch because spin-up type situations can be handled via severe thunderstorm watch with tornado wording in it …
Friday will be monitored closely as this could be our first real NWF Tornado Watch of the season for TN/KY
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